DocGo, Inc. (DCGO)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.40-0.52%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DCGO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -87.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 95.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DCGO — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-17
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. Merger Agreement On August 16, 2026, DocGo Inc., a Delaware corporation ("DocGo" or the "Company"), Ambulnz Holdings, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company ("Ambulnz"), HH Merger Sub, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and a wholly owned subsidiary of Ambulnz ("MergerCo"), Hicuity Health, Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Hicuity"), Concord Innovation Fund II, LP, a Delaware limited partnership ("…
Why it matters: Finishing the Hicuity deal could grow DocGo's virtual care services. It may also help their finances.
Supportive ifThe deal closes and adds Hicuity's services to DocGo's platform.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed or fails, impacting growth plans.
Why it matters: Staying compliant is crucial for maintaining market access. Any issues could lead to delisting risks.
Worry ifManagement says they meet the Nasdaq listing rules.
Less concerning ifManagement reports they still do not meet Nasdaq listing standards.
Why it matters: Confirming the revenue guidance shows strong demand for services and growth potential.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue guidance confirmed at $300-$315 million with strong demand signals.
Worry ifGuidance is now below $300 million. This is due to weak demand or problems.
Why it matters: If the health care sector's growth picks up, it could benefit DocGo. This would improve its competitive position.
Supportive ifHealth care sector revenue growth is speeding up toward 10% or more.
Worry ifSector growth keeps slowing down below current levels.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$261 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $935 loss on $10,000 · 9.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,589 loss on $10,000 · 75.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More engaged patients show good service and possible revenue growth.
Supportive ifPatient engagement goes over 1.8 million by Q2 2026.
Worry ifPatient engagement stays below 1.6 million by Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue guidance goes up, it shows strong demand and success. This would help investor trust.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue guidance raised to over $315 million.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 revenue guidance remains at or below $300 million.
Why it matters: A smaller adjusted EBITDA loss means better efficiency. It also shows better cost control.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA loss narrows to less than ($17 million) in Q3 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA loss widens beyond ($22 million) in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Share buybacks show that management thinks the company is valuable.
Supportive ifDocGo reports it has bought shares through the buyback program.
Worry ifNo shares are repurchased by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Lower EBITDA losses show better cost control. This means the company works more efficiently.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA loss narrows to less than $5 million for the full year.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA loss remains at or exceeds $10 million for the full year.
Why it matters: Strong growth from SteadyMD would support the company's revenue guidance and show demand for virtual care services.
Supportive ifSteadyMD revenue growth reported above 50% year over year.
Worry ifSteadyMD revenue growth reported below 30% year over year.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal would grow DocGo's virtual care services. It would also help with cash flow.
Supportive ifHicuity Health has been bought. The deal is now public.
Worry ifThe deal fails to close or has big delays.
Why it matters: Strong growth in mobile health shows good demand for virtual care.
Supportive ifMobile health services revenue increases year over year by more than 50%.
Worry ifMobile health services revenue growth is less than 30% year over year.
Why it matters: Following Nasdaq rules is important. It helps keep the company's public listing.
Worry ifDocGo's stock price stays above the minimum bid price for 10 days in a row.
Less concerning ifDocGo fails to meet the minimum bid price requirement by January 25, 2027.