DocGo, Inc. (DCGO)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.26+2.88%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DCGO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 97.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
DCGO — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-10-05
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Q2 raised the full-year loss outlook from $5–$10 million to $17–$22 million. A smaller loss would ease concern about cost pressure.
Watch forOn the November 9 earnings call, DocGo keeps its 2026 adjusted EBITDA loss within $17–$22 million. It reports a smaller loss than Q2's $6.3 million.
Also watch forDocGo raises its 2026 adjusted EBITDA loss outlook above $22 million. Or it reports a Q3 loss larger than $6.3 million.
Why it matters: Hicuity adds virtual care revenue and reported $4.5 million in adjusted EBITDA. The deal also adds debt and may use new funding.
Watch forDocGo reports that the Hicuity deal has closed and names the debt assumed at closing.
Also watch forDocGo reports that the deal is terminated, delayed beyond its stated terms, or cannot close as agreed.
Why it matters: Unrestricted cash fell to $25.2 million in Q2. Perceptive committed up to $50 million, but the terms and cash use matter.
Worry ifThe next filing shows unrestricted cash above $25.2 million. It also shows how much Perceptive funding DocGo has drawn.
Less concerning ifThe next filing shows unrestricted cash below $25.2 million, more debt, or new limits on Perceptive funding.
Why it matters: Q2 narrowed the full-year revenue range after two quarters of growth outside migrant programs. Results below the needed pace could weaken that outlook.
Watch forOn November 9, DocGo keeps full-year revenue guidance at $305–$310 million and Q3 revenue supports that range.
Also watch forDocGo cuts full-year revenue guidance below $305 million or reports Q3 revenue that puts the range out of reach.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$292 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $970 loss on $10,000 · 9.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,072 loss on $10,000 · 80.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.