Dell Technologies (DELL)
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
$524.14+1.50%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DELL
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $524 DELL trades at 30× p/e, below its 40× p/e peer median, but our blended $514 fair value is roughly in line with the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $170–$735. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $500.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $609.88 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $565.18 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $269.32 | 19.5 | 15.34 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$170.00 – $735.00 (median $500.00) · 40 analysts · as of 2026-09-03
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 247% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 3.7 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $10.21/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $304.09 |
| 21.1 |
| 14.39 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $701.46 | 39.9 | 17.59 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $1074.57 | 5.3 | 204.27 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $178.40 | 10.1 | 17.59 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $719.98 | 39.9 | 18.05 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $462.48 | 21.1 | 21.89 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $1520.15 | 39.9 | 38.12 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $2344.13 | 5.3 | 445.61 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $386.62 | 10.1 | 38.12 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $611.63 | 21.1 | 28.95 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $2010.40 | 39.9 | 50.41 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $3100.12 | 5.3 | 589.32 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $511.30 | 10.1 | 50.41 | Analyst | medium |