Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$7.51-2.09%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DHC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -68.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 71.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DHC — dividend update
Dated 2026-01-14
Other Events. On January 9, 2026, we received a cash dividend of $27.2 million from AlerisLife Inc., or AlerisLife, in connection with AlerisLife’s sale of all its assets and wind-down of its business. We expect to receive an additional cash dividend of approximately $3.0 million to $7.0 million at the completion of the wind-down of AlerisLife’s business. Warning Concerning Forward-Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K contains statements that constitute forward-looking statement…
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial stability. It may help keep investor trust during losses.
Supportive ifDividend per share remains at $0.01 for another quarter.
Worry ifDividend per share is cut below $0.01.
Why it matters: Changes in CapEx guidance will show DHC's focus on spending and growth plans.
Watch forTotal recurring CapEx guidance for 2026 is raised to over $115 million.
Also watch forThe total recurring CapEx guidance for 2026 is now below $100 million.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows DHC's promise to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifDHC maintains a dividend per share of $0.01 for the next two quarters.
Worry ifDHC cuts the dividend per share below $0.01.
Why it matters: Strong NOI growth in the SHOP segment is key for DHC's recovery and profitability.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 SHOP NOI growth exceeds 29.3% as guided.
Worry ifQ2 2026 SHOP NOI growth is below 29.3%, indicating ongoing challenges.
Why it matters: Better guidance would show the company is making progress despite recent losses. It could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifFull year 2026 adjusted EBITDAre guidance raised above $315M.
Worry ifGuidance remains at or below the current range of $300M to $315M.
Why it matters: Improved guidance indicates that DHC is making progress in its operations. Strong results would support this positive trend.
Supportive ifIn Q3 2026, Adjusted EBITDAre is over $307.5 million.
Worry ifIn Q3 2026, Adjusted EBITDAre is under $290 million.
Why it matters: Higher occupancy rates mean more demand for DHC's properties. This helps revenue growth.
Supportive ifOccupancy rates in senior housing increase by more than 800 basis points.
Worry ifOccupancy rates drop or do not improve much.
Why it matters: Higher occupancy rates will show recovery in senior housing. This will help revenue growth.
Supportive ifSame property SHOP occupancy increases by more than 110 basis points year over year.
Worry ifSame property SHOP occupancy goes down or stays the same year over year.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can improve its weak performance. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth is now over 5% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue decline or flat growth year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$126 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $387 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,210 loss on $10,000 · 22.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.