Reading DIOD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DIOD free→Reading DIOD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DIOD free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but the capital stance is capital unfriendly, indicating less shareholder-friendly actions. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind, with DIOD compared to sector peers being above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $108.75. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $109 DIOD trades at 4× p/s, below its 12× p/s peer median. Our $125 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 13% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 5%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 3 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated strong grew net income 73% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 2.61x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated robust grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.53 → $0.60 (+14.9% / 30d). 2 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
Market and fundamentals agree. Analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$273.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$441.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,744.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A drop below this level would signal a slowdown in growth for Diodes. This could impact investor confidence.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth reported at 5% or higher year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for DIOD yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Director — Dr. Keh-Shew Lu: Dr. Keh-Shew Lu voluntarily resigned from the Board of Directors following a greater number of votes 'withheld' than votes 'for' his re-election.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Semiconductors.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DIOD Diodes Incorporated | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | fair | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. | — | — | moderate |
AVGO Broadcom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 75 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
MU Micron Technology | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on increasing revenue growth through strategic initiatives.
Aim to enhance gross profit margins through operational efficiencies.
Continue efforts to enhance operating income through cost management.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost control and profit. This can make investors feel good.
Confirms:Gross profit margins improve by more than 2% compared to the previous quarter.
Disproves:Gross profit margins remain flat or decline compared to the previous quarter.
Why it matters: Court cases can affect money and business. Good results can increase trust.
Confirms one read:Good news on court cases that lower possible costs.
Confirms the other:Bad news on court cases that raise possible costs.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Gary Yu, President and Chief Executive Officer of Diodes Incorporated, (the “Company”), as well as Brett R. Whitmire, Chief Financial Officer of the Company, Emily Yang, Senior Vice President, Worldwide Sales and Marketing of the Company, Gurmeet Dhaliwal, Vice President of Corporate Marketing and Investor Relations for the Company, and Leanne K. Sievers, President, Shelton Group, participated in a conference call to discuss the C…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Diodes Incorporated (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its first quarter ended March 31, 2026 financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. In the press release, the Company utilizes financial measures and terms not calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“GAAP”) in order to provide investors with an alternative method for assessing…
Regulation FD Disclosure. The transcript of the earnings conference call furnished as Exhibit 99.1 also provides an update on the Company’s business outlook, that is intended to be within the safe harbor provided by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “Act”) as comprising forward looking statements within the meaning of the Act. The information furnished in this Item 7.01, including the exhibit incorporated by reference, will not be treated as “filed” for the purposes of…
Other Events. From time to time, Diodes Incorporated (the “Company”) may give corporate presentations to its customers, suppliers and other related interested parties. Copies of the Company’s corporate presentation slides, updated on May 7, 2026, are attached herewith as Exhibit 99.2 and Exhibit 99.3. Exhibit 99.2 provides an update focused on the Company's first quarter 2026 financial results and Exhibit 99.3 is used in the Company's investor relations presentations. Forward-Looking Statemen…