Diodes Incorporated (DIOD)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$91.79+2.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DIOD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 28.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DIOD — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-08-18
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The disclosure set forth above in
Why it matters: This offering could change the company’s capital structure and stock price.
Watch forStock prices rise after the notes offering is announced.
Also watch forStock prices drop a lot after the announcement.
Why it matters: Growth in car sales is key for overall revenue and better margins. It shows what customers want.
Supportive ifCar sales grew by over 20% compared to last year.
Worry ifCar sales fell or grew less than 10% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal would make Diodes' products better. It would also raise revenue in automated test equipment.
Supportive ifLook for the official announcement of the deal closing and its revenue impact.
Worry ifAcquisition fails to close or is delayed beyond the expected timeline.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect company plans and how investors feel. Clear updates help keep things stable.
Worry ifManagement has a clear plan for the leadership change and future goals.
Less concerning ifThere is still confusion about the leadership. There are no updates on the direction.
Why it matters: This acquisition could boost Diodes' revenue and margins. It signals a strategic move into the ATE market.
Supportive ifThe deal will close on time. There will be no delays from regulators.
Worry ifThe deal may face delays. It could fail to close because of regulatory issues.
Why it matters: A drop below this level would signal a slowdown in growth for Diodes. This could impact investor confidence.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth reported at 5% or higher year over year.
Why it matters: Leadership changes can affect strategy and investor trust. This is important after recent changes.
Worry ifA new CEO or interim leader could help stabilize the company.
Less concerning ifThere is worry about changes in leadership. Uncertainty and bad news are concerns.
Why it matters: Court cases can affect money and business. Good results can increase trust.
Watch forGood news on court cases that lower possible costs.
Also watch forBad news on court cases that raise possible costs.
Why it matters: Meeting this target would confirm strong demand in automotive and AI server markets. It also aligns with management's guidance and growth strategy.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth reported at 30% year-over-year or better.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth was below 25% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Hitting this margin shows good cost control and better product mix. This helps profits.
Supportive ifGross margin reported at 35% or higher for Q3.
Worry ifGross margin reported below 33% for Q3.
Why it matters: The acquisition may add $50 million in revenue. It can also improve Diodes' products.
Supportive ifQ3 results show ElevATE added about $50 million in revenue.
Worry ifQ3 results show no revenue contribution from ElevATE.
Why it matters: This EPS target shows strong earnings growth and good operations. It matches management's goals.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP EPS reported at $1.05 or higher for Q3.
Worry ifNon-GAAP EPS reported below $0.95 for Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$325 on $10,000 · ±3.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $659 loss on $10,000 · 6.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,802 loss on $10,000 · 38.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.