Diodes Incorporated (DIOD)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$68.36-13.97%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DIOD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -37.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 31.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 69.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 50 industry peers
DIOD — litigation filed
Dated 2026-11-05
Regulation FD Disclosure. From time to time, the Company may give corporate presentations to its customers, suppliers, investors and other interested parties. Copies of the Company’s corporate presentation slides, updated on November 5, 2026, are attached herewith as Exhibit 99.2 and Exhibit 99.3. Exhibit 99.2 provides an update focused on the Company’s third quarter 2026 financial results and Exhibit 99.3 is used in the Company’s investor relations presentations. The information furnished in…
Why it matters: Management set a $510 million Q3 revenue midpoint. The result tests whether growth across its key markets continues.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is at least $510 million, the midpoint of guidance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below the $494.7 million low end of guidance.
Why it matters: Automotive was a record 21% of product revenue in Q2. Further growth would show that the key market is adding sales.
Supportive ifAutomotive revenue grows year over year in Q3 and remains at or above 21% of product revenue.
Worry ifAutomotive revenue falls year over year or its share of product revenue drops below 21%.
Why it matters: Diodes completed its ElevATE deal in August. The stated $50 million first-year revenue contribution is a clear test of the deal's business value.
Supportive ifCompany results or filings show about $50 million in ElevATE revenue in its first 12 months after close.
Worry ifCompany results or filings show less than $50 million of ElevATE revenue in its first 12 months after close.
Why it matters: The tech sector is still growing, but its growth pace is easing. DIOD's recent sales growth gives a clear company-level test.
Worry ifDIOD reports revenue growth above 20% from a year earlier in its next quarter.
Less concerning ifDIOD's year-over-year revenue growth falls below its sector's stated median growth rate.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$303 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $777 loss on $10,000 · 7.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,431 loss on $10,000 · 44.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management tied higher margins to better factory use and product mix. A result near 35% would show those gains continue.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin is at least 35%, the midpoint of guidance.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is below the 34% low end of guidance.