AMCON Distributing Co (DIT)
AMEXConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$67.64+2.48%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DIT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 46.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 39.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
DIT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-20
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On April 20, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing financial results for its second fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this report as an exhibit. The information in this report (including the exhibit) shall not be deemed to be "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information…
Why it matters: Keeping operating costs low is important for making more money. This is true in a high-cost environment.
Worry ifOperating costs go down from one quarter to the next.
Less concerning ifOperating costs go up from one quarter to the next.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift in the maturing sector.
Supportive ifRevenue growth shows an increase of more than 3% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 1% year over year.
Why it matters: More trading volume may show more investor interest after the dual listing.
Supportive ifTrading volume went up a lot after the dual listing on NYSE Texas.
Worry ifTrading volume stayed the same or went down, showing less investor interest.
Why it matters: Earnings will reveal if revenue growth is stabilizing or declining. This affects future performance.
Watch forRevenue growth reported above 4% year over year in the earnings call.
Also watch forRevenue growth reported below 4% year over year in the earnings call.
Why it matters: Stable or rising revenue shows demand is recovering in a tough market.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth year over year better than 10%.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth year over year worse than 0%.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the consumer staples sector.
Supportive ifThe consumer staples sector shows revenue growth speeding up again. It is getting closer to its highs.
Worry ifConsumer staples sector revenue growth is still going down or staying the same.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows how well AMCON's acquisitions and customer service are working.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue exceeds $835 million, showing strong growth momentum.
Worry ifIf Q3 revenue is under $800 million, there may be growth challenges.
Why it matters: New acquisitions would help AMCON grow and reach more customers.
Supportive ifThere is news about buying a Convenience Distributor.
Worry ifIf there are no acquisition announcements next quarter, growth may stall.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$13 on $10,000 · ±0.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $450 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,503 loss on $10,000 · 35.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.