AMCON Distributing Co (DIT)
AMEXConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
AMEXConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DIT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 27.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of —
DIT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-20
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On April 20, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing financial results for its second fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this report as an exhibit. The information in this report (including the exhibit) shall not be deemed to be "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information…
Why it matters: The report can show whether Q3's higher operating income continued. It can also update investors on costs, cash, and acquisitions.
Watch forThe November 6 report shows operating income over $6.25 million, the Q3 level. It also shows net income over $2.69 million.
Also watch forThe November 6 report shows operating income below $6.25 million or a net loss.
Why it matters: Credit facilities grew from $126.8 million in September 2025 to $160.8 million in June 2026. A further rise would add pressure to the balance sheet.
Worry ifA later balance sheet shows credit lines over $160.8 million.
Less concerning ifA later balance sheet shows credit facilities at or under $160.8 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$0 on $10,000 · ±0.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $460 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,718 loss on $10,000 · 37.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.