Healthpeak Properties (DOC)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$20.65-1.81%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DOC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers
DOC — government funding
Dated 2026-03-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Amendments to Credit Agreements and Incremental Delayed Draw Term Loan On March 23, 2026 (the “ Closing Date ”), concurrently with the completion of Janus Living, Inc.’s (“ Janus Living ”) registered underwritten initial public offering (the “ Janus IPO ”), Healthpeak Properties, Inc., a Maryland corporation (“ Healthpeak ”), Healthpeak OP, LLC, a Maryland limited liability company (“ Healthpeak OP ”), DOC DR Holdco, LLC, a Maryland limited liability…
Why it matters: Updates on acquisitions show how Healthpeak can grow through its main company.
Supportive ifJanus Living has new purchases worth over $400 million.
Worry ifJanus Living fails to secure any new acquisitions in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A rebound in sector revenue growth could boost Healthpeak's performance and outlook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth shows signs of speeding up toward past highs.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down.
Why it matters: Reaffirming FFO guidance shows good financial health and steady operations. It comforts investors.
Supportive ifManagement confirms FFO guidance for 2026 remains on track during the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement revises FFO guidance downward in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Changes in EPS guidance can show shifts in profit expectations. This impacts value.
Watch forManagement raises 2026 EPS guidance in the next earnings call.
Also watch forManagement lowers 2026 EPS guidance in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: This guidance shows confidence in steady revenue. It builds trust with investors.
Supportive ifManagement will confirm 2026 NOI growth guidance at the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement lowers the 2026 NOI growth guidance in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: More acquisitions would show strong growth in the Janus Living platform and support revenue growth.
Supportive ifHealthpeak has senior housing deals worth over $400 million.
Worry ifNo new senior housing acquisitions are announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if Healthpeak can maintain its growth momentum after a strong Q1.
Watch forQ2 earnings per share is over $0.46. This shows strong earnings.
Also watch forQ2 earnings per share falls below $0.34, suggesting a slowdown in earnings growth.
Why it matters: Guidance on Same-Store Cash NOI growth will show Healthpeak's health and market demand.
Watch forHealthpeak reaffirms Same-Store Cash NOI growth guidance within the range of (1.0%) to 1.0%.
Also watch forHealthpeak revises Same-Store Cash NOI growth guidance below the range of (1.0%).
Why it matters: More share buybacks may show management's belief in the company's value and future.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases exceed $250 million by the end of 2026.
Worry ifTotal share repurchases remain below $250 million by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Strong lease executions in outpatient medical show demand for Healthpeak's properties. This supports revenue growth.
Supportive ifOutpatient medical leases will exceed 1 million square feet in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOutpatient medical leases will be under 1 million square feet in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Healthpeak's same-store NOI growth guidance shows it has stable cash flows.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms same-store cash NOI growth in the range of (1.0%) to 1.0%.
Worry ifManagement cuts same-store cash NOI growth guidance to below (1.0%).
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth from Janus Living supports Healthpeak's overall growth strategy. It reflects the success of their senior housing platform.
Supportive ifJanus Living reports revenue growth over 35% compared to last year.
Worry ifJanus Living's revenue growth falls below 35% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Better cash NOI growth shows improved operations and stable revenue.
Supportive ifTotal same-store cash NOI growth exceeds 1.8% in the next quarter.
Worry ifTotal same-store cash NOI growth remains at or below 1.8%.
Why it matters: More share buybacks mean management trusts the company's worth.
Supportive ifHealthpeak repurchases over $100 million of shares in the next quarter.
Worry ifHealthpeak does not repurchase any shares in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$100 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $218 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,708 loss on $10,000 · 17.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.