Dover Corporation (DOV)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$192.88+0.95%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DOV
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $193 DOV trades at 19× p/e, below its 26× p/e peer median. Our $213 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $227–$270. Note: our $213 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($227–$270). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $240.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $239.43 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $240.04 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $113.93 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$227.00 – $270.00 (median $240.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-07-24
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $215.78 |
| 16.9 |
| 13.40 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $212.45 | 24.5 | 8.66 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $232.98 | 20.4 | 11.41 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $177.58 | 2.9 | 62.12 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $363.40 | 35.8 | 10.15 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $76.16 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $210.62 | 20.8 | 10.15 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $271.48 | 25.6 | 10.60 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $299.99 | 24.5 | 12.22 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $184.65 | 20.4 | 9.04 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $147.92 | 2.9 | 51.75 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $323.68 | 35.8 | 9.04 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $187.60 | 20.8 | 9.04 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $377.58 | 24.5 | 15.38 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $136.88 | 20.4 | 6.70 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $109.65 | 2.9 | 38.36 | guidance | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $239.94 | 35.8 | 6.70 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $139.07 | 20.8 | 6.70 | Analyst | high |