Dover Corporation (DOV)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$212.66-0.43%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DOV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DOV — debt issuance
Dated 2026-11-02
Other Events On November 2, 2026, Dover Corporation (the “Company”) completed an offering of €800,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 4.350% Notes due 2030 (the “Euro Notes”). The Euro Notes were registered under the Company’s Registration Statement on Form S-3ASR (File No. 333-293679) and were offered by means of the Company’s prospectus, dated February 24, 2026 (the “Base Prospectus”), as supplemented by a prospectus supplement, dated October 26, 2026 (together with the Base Prospectus, t…
Why it matters: Dover raised its full-year revenue growth range after Q3. Growth above 8% would beat the top end of that range.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue growth is above 8%, or organic growth is above 6%.
Worry ifFull-year revenue growth is below 7%, or organic growth is below 5%.
Why it matters: The sector signal shows a headwind and slowing growth. A turn up would add support to Dover's demand backdrop.
Watch forThe XLI sector signal shifts from a headwind to positive. Its 60-day relative performance is above zero.
Also watch forThe headwind remains, and XLI's 60-day relative performance stays below zero.
Why it matters: Dover raised its 2026 adjusted EPS range to $10.60–$10.75. Reaching the low end would meet its double-digit growth goal.
Supportive ifDover reports full-year 2026 adjusted EPS of $10.60 or more.
Worry ifDover reports full-year 2026 adjusted EPS below $10.60 or cuts its range below that level.
Why it matters: Growth across every segment would show demand is broad, not limited to a few fast-growing markets.
Supportive ifDover reports organic revenue growth in all five segments in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifOne or more segments report flat or falling organic revenue in the next quarter.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$90 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $230 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,006 loss on $10,000 · 20.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More orders than shipments can build the backlog and support sales next year. Dover said much of its backlog is set for 2027 delivery.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, bookings again exceed shipments. The company also reports continued growth in its 2027 backlog.
Worry ifBookings fall below shipments, or Dover reports that its 2027 backlog has shrunk.
Why it matters: Dover announced two bolt-on deals and plans to add capacity in key markets. Their sales and profit impact remains unreported.
Watch forDover names both acquired businesses and reports added sales. Adjusted EPS remains at or above its 2026 range.
Also watch forDover reports deal delays, added costs, or lower EPS guidance tied to either deal.