Dover Corporation (DOV)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$192.88+0.95%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DOV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers
DOV — earnings in line
Dated 2026-04-23
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 23, 2026, Dover Corporation ("Dover") issued the Press Release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any of Dover’s filings with the SEC under the Securities Act…
Why it matters: New acquisitions could boost growth and market position. This shows management wants to expand.
Supportive ifThey announced an acquisition. It is worth more than $100 million.
Worry ifNo acquisitions announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better operational metrics would help Dover grow and make more money long-term.
Supportive ifPerformance numbers are getting better. Earnings margins are higher in some areas.
Worry ifOperational metrics drop or do not improve.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean good cost control. They also show efficient operations.
Supportive ifSegment earnings margin exceeds 24%.
Worry ifSegment earnings margin falls below 22%.
Why it matters: Better metrics would show Dover is fixing its operational issues. This is important for growth.
Supportive ifOperating income improves from $220M in 2025-Q4.
Worry ifOperating income declines further from $220M in 2025-Q4.
Why it matters: Strong growth in bookings shows ongoing demand and helps revenue plans.
Supportive ifBookings growth reported above 10% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifBookings growth reported below 5% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Earnings show how healthy a company is and how much investors trust it.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 earnings per share meets or exceeds $2.01.
Worry ifQ2 2026 earnings per share falls below $1.95.
Why it matters: Better earnings margins show good cost control and efficient work.
Supportive ifSegment earnings margin improves beyond 24% in Q3.
Worry ifSegment earnings margin falls below 22% in Q3.
Why it matters: Another increase in adjusted EPS guidance would show strong confidence in earnings growth.
Supportive ifManagement raises adjusted EPS guidance to more than $10.75.
Worry ifManagement keeps or lowers adjusted EPS guidance to less than $10.55.
Why it matters: This would show slower growth. It could hurt investor trust in the company.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 6%. This means they did not meet their goals.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth meets or exceeds 6%, confirming strong demand.
Why it matters: New acquisitions could enhance growth prospects and market position in key segments.
Supportive ifThere is an announcement of a major acquisition that fits growth plans.
Worry ifNo big M&A announcements. This shows a lack of growth chances.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$114 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $253 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,885 loss on $10,000 · 18.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.