Leonardo DRS Inc (DRS)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$36.60-1.13%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DRS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 55 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DRS — CEO transition
Dated 2026-03-10
Director — David W. Carey: David W. Carey retired from the Board, and Reuben Jeffery III was appointed as a new director.
Why it matters: Higher EPS guidance shows strong performance and confidence in future growth.
Supportive ifAdjusted Diluted EPS guidance is raised to above $1.39.
Worry ifGuidance stays at or below $1.39, showing weaker expectations.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means higher profits and good management of working capital.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow turns positive and exceeds $50 million in a future quarter.
Worry ifOperating cash flow stays negative or does not improve much.
Why it matters: If revenue guidance goes up again, it shows strong growth and management's confidence.
Supportive ifManagement raises 2026 revenue guidance to more than $3,975 million.
Worry ifManagement keeps 2026 revenue guidance at $3,975 million or lowers it.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows there is still demand for DRS's technologies. This supports their higher guidance.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 8% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 6% year-over-year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$149 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $373 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,816 loss on $10,000 · 28.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth speeds up, it could help DRS's performance. A stronger sector supports better business prospects.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth shows improvement, moving above 5% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong bookings indicate robust demand and could support revenue growth moving forward.
Supportive ifBookings in Q3 exceed $1 billion.
Worry ifBookings drop below $900 million, showing weaker demand.
Why it matters: The acquisition helps DRS grow its AI and mission software. This could improve its market position.
Supportive ifThe acquisition will close on time. All regulatory approvals will be received by Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe acquisition may be delayed. It might not get the needed regulatory approvals.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows better financial health. This is important for funding growth.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow remains positive for Q3 2026.
Worry ifOperating cash flow turns negative again in Q3 2026.