Driven Brands Holdings, Inc. (DRVN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$12.08+1.43%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DRVN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 8.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DRVN — legal / regulatory event — Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Rep…
Dated 2026-11-03
Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Report or Completed Interim Review. On October 31, 2026, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors, after consultation with the Company’s management, concluded there were material errors in our previously issued consolidated financial statements for the fiscal years ended December 27, 2025 (“fiscal year 2025”), December 28, 2024 (“fiscal year 2024”), and December 30, 2023 (“fiscal year 2023”), contained in the Compa…
Why it matters: Take 5 has grown sales at existing stores for 24 straight quarters. Its next result tests whether that growth continues.
Watch forQ3 Take 5 same-store sales growth is at least 3.6%, matching or topping Q2.
Also watch forQ3 Take 5 same-store sales growth falls below 0%.
Why it matters: The company reported 3.1x net leverage in Q2 and set a long-term target of 2-3x. A lower ratio would show more progress.
Supportive ifA later company report shows net debt to adjusted EBITDA at or below 3.0x.
Worry ifA later company report shows net debt to adjusted EBITDA above 3.1x.
Why it matters: The board approved up to $100 million in share repurchases, but the company is not required to use it. Actual purchases would show capital is being returned.
Supportive ifA company filing or release says shares were bought under the $100 million plan.
Worry ifThe next quarterly report shows no share repurchases. The company says it paused or ended the program.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$153 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $410 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,973 loss on $10,000 · 39.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.