DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. (DV)
NYSECommunication ServicesSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.36+0.07%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DV — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-06
and in Exhibit 99.1 attached to this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing made by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, unless expressly incorporated by specific reference…
Why it matters: Using the full repurchase program shows confidence in the company's value and future.
Supportive ifThe company finished $200 million in share buybacks.
Worry ifNo big share buybacks have been announced or done.
Why it matters: Strong growth in Social measurement shows good product innovation. It also shows market demand.
Supportive ifSocial measurement revenue grew more than 20% from last year.
Worry ifSocial measurement revenue grew less than 20% from last year.
Why it matters: If it goes above $20M, it shows good cost control. This can help make more money.
Supportive ifOperating income was above $20M for Q2.
Worry ifOperating income was below $15M for Q2.
Why it matters: If sector growth slows, it may hurt DoubleVerify's performance and outlook.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth reported at or above its median.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$154 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $432 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,424 loss on $10,000 · 44.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Changes in sector performance can affect DV's growth prospects. The sector is currently in a declining phase, which could impact revenue.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is positive. This shows a recovery that could help DV.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth is still negative. This suggests ongoing challenges for DV.
Why it matters: Active share repurchase shows that management is confident. It helps raise value for shareholders.
Supportive ifShare repurchases are above $100 million in Q2 2026. This shows strong capital use.
Worry ifNo big share repurchases in Q2 2026. This suggests low confidence or cash flow issues.
Why it matters: New customer wins can boost revenue and validate the company's growth strategy.
Supportive ifThey announced new big customer wins in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNo new big customer wins were announced. This shows possible market challenges.
Why it matters: Meeting or beating guidance shows strong demand. It also supports growth goals.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue reported at or above $199 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue reported below $199 million.
Why it matters: Net income growth is crucial for long-term success. A slowdown could raise concerns.
Worry ifNet income growth reported below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifNet income growth reported above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Net income growth shows good cost management and revenue generation. This matches management's goal.
Supportive ifNet income reported above $6.4 million for Q2 2026, reflecting ongoing growth.
Worry ifNet income is below $6.4 million for Q2 2026. This suggests issues with revenue or costs.
Why it matters: Better growth signals in the sector may help DoubleVerify. This could lead to improved results.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported above 8% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth reported below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Approval is key for the merger to proceed. It will impact DV's future as a private entity.
Supportive ifShareholders vote yes on the merger during the special meeting.
Worry ifShareholders vote no on the merger during the special meeting.
Why it matters: Growth above 7% shows strong demand. This is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth reported above 7% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 7% year over year.
Why it matters: A margin above 32% shows good cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifIn Q3, the adjusted EBITDA margin was over 32%.
Worry ifIn Q3, the adjusted EBITDA margin was under 32%.
Why it matters: Updates will explain how the merger affects DV's work and products.
Watch forOfficial news shows successful steps after the merger.
Also watch forThere are reports of problems or delays in integration. These affect operations.