DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$184.00+1.54%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DXPE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 41.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DXPE — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-10
Other Events. On July 9, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing its entry into the Second A&R Credit Agreement. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Acquisitions are part of DXP's growth strategy. More deals could signal strong execution.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new acquisition in Q3.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions announced in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong free cash flow supports growth and acquisition strategies. A drop could raise concerns.
Supportive ifFree cash flow for Q3 exceeds $25 million.
Worry ifFree cash flow for Q3 falls below $25 million.
Why it matters: A decline may show problems with efficiency or cash management.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is below $29.6 million.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations is above $29.6 million.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector grows again, it could help DXP's revenue. This matters for performance.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported above 10% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$174 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $406 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,299 loss on $10,000 · 33.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping margins high is important for making money. A drop may show problems in operations.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 stays above 12%.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 falls below 12%.
Why it matters: Sales growth is key to DXP's growth strategy. A slowdown could signal trouble.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth prints below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 sales growth exceeds 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow from operations helps growth and lowers debt worries. This improves financial stability.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $30 million.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains below $30 million.
Why it matters: If operating income grows over 15%, it shows better cost management. This can help profits.
Supportive ifOperating income was over $48.00M for Q2.
Worry ifOperating income was below $40.00M for Q2.
Why it matters: Operating income margin shows how well DXP is doing. If it drops below 12%, there may be problems.
Worry ifOperating income margin is below 12% for Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating income margin is above 12% for Q3.
Why it matters: High debt levels may raise worries about financial health. This can affect future growth and deals.
Worry ifTotal debt reported above $844.7 million.
Less concerning ifTotal debt reported below $844.7 million.
Why it matters: Acquisitions are part of DXP's growth strategy. More deals signal strong execution.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new acquisition by the end of 2026.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions announced by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow supports DXP's ability to fund growth and acquisitions. This is key for financial health.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $29.6 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls below $29.6 million in Q2 2026.