DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-05
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DXPE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DXPE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-05
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION The following information is furnished pursuant to Regulation FD. On November 5, 2026 , DXP Enterprises, Inc., issued a press release announcing financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1, and incorporated herein by reference. Such exhibit (i) is furnished pursuant to
Why it matters: The board approved up to $150 million in buybacks over 24 months. Actual purchases will show whether DXP uses cash for this plan.
Watch forA filing or company report confirms share purchases under the new plan. It states how many shares were bought.
Also watch forDXP reports no shares bought under the plan by its next annual report, or ends the plan without purchases.
Why it matters: Q2 free cash flow was $29.8 million, versus $8.3 million a year earlier. DXP links this cash to deals, investment, and debt payments.
Supportive ifQ3 free cash flow is above $8.3 million, the Q3 2025 comparison level.
Worry ifQ3 free cash flow is $8.3 million or less, or falls below zero.
Why it matters: DXP's sales growth rose from 9.5% in Q1 to 15.6% in Q2. Q3 sales will show if that pace holds.
Supportive ifQ3 sales rise more than 9.5% year over year, with organic sales growth also above zero.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth falls to 9.5% or less, or organic sales decline year over year.
Why it matters: DXP closed four acquisitions through Q2 and said it looked for more in H2. New deals add growth, but weak sales from them would not support that case.
Watch forDXP reports at least one more acquisition in 2026. Sales from acquired companies add to year-over-year growth.
Also watch forDXP reports no further 2026 acquisition by year-end, or says acquired sales did not add to growth.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$153 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $460 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,384 loss on $10,000 · 33.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This segment grew 37.7% in Q1 and 52.6% in Q2. The next report will show if its strong growth continues.
Supportive ifQ3 Innovative Pumping Solutions sales grow more than 37.7% year over year. Its operating margin stays at or above 18.3%.
Worry ifQ3 segment sales growth falls to 37.7% or less, or operating margin drops below 18.3%.