Ennis, Inc. (EBF)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EBF
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
EBF — earnings miss
Dated 2026-09-21
of Form 8-K). 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. Ennis, Inc. Date: September 21, 2026 By: /s/ Vera Burnett Vera Burnett Chief Financial Officer
Why it matters: The current quarter included a $700,000 charge from a preliminary ruling. A later ruling could change the cost.
Watch forA court filing or company report changes the early ruling or lowers the $2.3 million amount.
Also watch forA court filing or company report upholds the $2.3 million ruling or raises the amount owed.
Why it matters: First-half cash flow rose from $18.4 million to $34.1 million. Ongoing cash generation supports operations and dividends.
Supportive ifThe next six-month report shows operating cash flow above $34.1 million.
Worry ifThe next six-month report shows operating cash flow below $18.4 million.
Why it matters: Sales rose 3.3% in the latest quarter, while first-half growth was 2.4%. Further growth would support stable sales.
Supportive ifA later quarter shows sales growth above 3% year over year.
Worry ifA later quarter shows sales growth below 1% year over year or a year-over-year sales decline.
Why it matters: Higher carbonless paper costs cut the latest quarter's gross margin. Lower costs could help margins recover.
Supportive ifA later report shows gross margin above 29.9%. Management says carbonless paper costs fell.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 29.9%. Management reports more pressure from carbonless paper costs.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$61 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $190 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,063 loss on $10,000 · 10.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.