EchoStar (ECHO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$89.80+0.01%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ECHO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -22.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -5.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ECHO — legal / regulatory event — Bankruptcy or Receivership
Dated 2026-08-03
Bankruptcy or Receivership . On August 2, 2026 (the “ Petition Date ”), EchoStar Corporation’s (“ EchoStar ”) subsidiary Hughes Satellite Systems Corporation (“ HSSC ”) and certain of its wholly-owned subsidiaries, (i) EchoStar Orbital L.L.C., (ii) EchoStar Government Services L.L.C., (iii) EchoStar Satellite Services L.L.C., (iv) Hughes Communications, Inc., (v) Hughes Network Systems, LLC, (vi) HNS-India VSAT, Inc., (vii) HNS License Sub, LLC, (viii) HNS Real Estate, LLC, (ix) Hughes Netw…
Why it matters: The recent acquisition could create new growth chances for EchoStar.
Supportive ifLook for a press release about new partnerships or projects from the acquisition.
Worry ifThere have been no new partnerships or developments in three months since the acquisition.
Why it matters: Focusing on enterprise and defense can boost growth. It helps stabilize EchoStar's revenues.
Supportive ifHughes reports an increase in enterprise orders above $839M in 2026.
Worry ifEnterprise orders fall below $465M, indicating a lack of traction in the new focus.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong demand in enterprise, government, and defense.
Supportive ifEnterprise backlog increases above $1.6B in Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe enterprise backlog drops or stays the same.
Why it matters: If EchoStar grows its revenue, it may turn around in a tough market.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported as positive year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$171 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | Not available | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,735 loss on $10,000 · 17.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Hughes is making more money. This is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifOperating income exceeds $512.9M in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating income remains negative or does not improve from $512.9M.
Why it matters: Continued growth in defense revenue is crucial for Hughes' strategy. It supports the shift to enterprise and government markets.
Supportive ifDefense revenue grows over 92% compared to last year.
Worry ifDefense revenue growth drops below 50% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is vital for Hughes' financial health. It impacts its ability to invest and grow.
Watch forCash flow from operations is positive for two quarters in a row.
Also watch forCash flow from operations remains negative for the next quarter.
Why it matters: Hughes' reorganization is key to its future. It aims to strengthen its capital structure and focus on enterprise markets.
Watch forHughes gets court approval for first-day motions. This allows them to keep operating.
Also watch forHughes may have delays or problems in Chapter 11. This could affect operations.