Encore Capital Group, Inc. (ECPG)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$97.30+0.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ECPG
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $97 the market pays 2.1× p/b — above the 1.6× p/b peer median but in line with its own 2× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $129 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $208.08 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $157.63 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $119.33 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $73.87 | 1.6 | 47.33 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $25.33 |
| 4.4 |
| 5.70 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $121.00 | 9.0 | 13.37 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $116.49 | 1.4 | 83.42 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $127.28 | 9.5 | 13.37 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $83.71 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $135.55 | 9.0 | 14.98 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $64.58 | 1.6 | 41.38 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $23.52 | 4.4 | 5.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $168.96 | 9.0 | 18.67 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $151.52 | 1.4 | 108.50 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $177.72 | 9.5 | 18.67 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $59.05 | 1.6 | 37.84 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $22.39 | 4.4 | 5.04 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $223.45 | 9.0 | 24.69 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $200.38 | 1.4 | 143.50 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $235.04 | 9.5 | 24.69 | Analyst | medium |