Reading EDUC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EDUC free→Reading EDUC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EDUC free→NASDAQCommunication ServicesPublishingSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is fragile, meaning profits lack cash support. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 60% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern occurs because it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.45. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.45 EDUC trades at 5× p/e, below its 12× p/e peer median. Our $3.54 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 60% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -36%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=902).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.86x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Communication Services names rated fragile grew net income 43% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=525).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
11 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 63% for the rest of the cohort, n=271).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$73.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$441.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,111.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for EDUC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On May 19, 2026, Educational Development Corporation announced, via press release, fiscal 2026 and fiscal fourth quarter financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
No score history yet for this stock.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
EDUC EDUCATIONAL DEVELOPMENT CORP | — | inexpensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT On March 6, 2026, Educational Development Corporation (the “Company”) executed a Credit Agreement (“Loan Agreement”) with Regent (the “Lender”). The Loan Agreement establishes a revolving promissory note in the principal amount up to $2,000,000 (the “Revolving Loan”). Features of the Credit Agreement include: (i) $2.0 million Revolving Loan with 1 year maturity date of March 6, 2027 (ii) Revolving Loan bears interest at the higher rate of the Prime R…
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On January 8, 2026, Educational Development Corporation announced, via press release, fiscal 2026 third quarter financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL AGREEMENT On October 27, 2025, Educational Development Corporation (“EDC”, the “Company” or “Seller”) completed the sale and leaseback of the Company’s headquarters and distribution warehouse located at 5400-5402 South 122 nd East Avenue, Tulsa, Oklahoma 74146 (the “Hilti Complex”) to 10Mark 10K Industrial, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company (“Buyer”). The agreed upon sale price of the Hilti Complex per the executed Contract totaled $32,200,000. The proceeds from…
TERMINATION OF A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT On October 27, 2025, Educational Development Corporation repaid in full all outstanding indebtedness and terminated all commitments and obligations under its Credit Agreement dated August 9, 2022 between the Company and BOKF, NA. The Company’s payment to BOKF, NA, including interest, was approximately $30.0 million, which satisfies all of the Company’s debt obligations with BOKF, NA. The Company did not incur any early termination penalties as a…