Envela Corp. (ELA)
AMEXConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$14.07+2.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ELA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -29.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -12.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 44 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Review the full earnings evidenceWhy it matters: Active buybacks can help the share price. They show that management believes in the business.
Supportive ifThey announced a buyback of over 200,000 shares in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNo buybacks were reported in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would confirm management's focus on increasing sales. This is key for future performance.
Supportive ifRevenue growth turns positive year over year in Q2 2026.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains negative year over year in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Better performance in the sector could help Envela. It may show that consumers are spending more.
Watch forThe consumer discretionary sector shows good revenue growth in Q3 2026.
Also watch forThe consumer discretionary sector is still going down in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income shows the company is making more money. This can improve how investors feel.
Supportive ifOperating income growth reported above 10% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifOperating income growth reported below 10% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows management cares about making money. It means they control costs well.
Supportive ifOperating income in Q2 is higher than in Q1. This shows better cost management.
Worry ifOperating income in Q2 is lower or the same as in Q1. This shows cost issues.
Why it matters: Sustained revenue growth shows the company is on track to meet its goals. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth stays above 20% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth drops below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means better cost control and more profit. This can build investor trust.
Supportive ifOperating income rises to at least $12M in Q2.
Worry ifOperating income falls below $10M in Q2.
Why it matters: Extending the stock repurchase plan signals confidence in the company's future. This can positively influence share price.
Supportive ifManagement will extend the stock repurchase plan to 2028.
Worry ifNo announcement about the stock repurchase plan extension by the end of Q2.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$192 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $609 loss on $10,000 · 6.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,242 loss on $10,000 · 52.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.