Eastman Chemical Company (EMN)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$65.71-2.81%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EMN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EMN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On October 29, 2026, the registrant publicly released its financial results for third quarter 2026. The full text of the release is furnished as Exhibit 99.01 to this Current Report on Form 8-K, and is incorporated herein by reference. This information shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of…
Why it matters: Eastman has kept its savings goal for all three supplied quarters. Savings after inflation are not yet quantified here.
Worry ifEastman reports 2026 cost savings, net of inflation, below $125 million.
Less concerning ifEastman reports at least $125 million in 2026 cost savings, net of inflation.
Why it matters: Eastman expects about $850 million in cash flow. Cash was $290 million in Q3, down from $402 million a year earlier.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 operating cash flow is below $850 million.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 operating cash flow reaches or exceeds $850 million.
Why it matters: The plant is a key part of Eastman's circular growth plan. The latest release gives no revenue or output figure for the platform.
Supportive ifEastman reports higher circular-platform revenue in 2026. It grows again in 2027.
Worry ifEastman reports no circular-platform revenue growth in 2026, or delays that growth until 2027.
Why it matters: The sector data says revenue is shrinking, but recent signs hint that this may change. Positive growth would mark a clear shift.
Watch forMaterials sector three-year revenue growth turns above 0%.
Also watch forMaterials sector three-year revenue growth stays at or below 0%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$109 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $310 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,275 loss on $10,000 · 22.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management set a $6.00 to $6.20 adjusted EPS range. A result below $6.00 would miss its stated range.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is below $6.00.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is $6.00 or higher.