Eastman Chemical Company (EMN)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$71.19+0.59%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EMN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -19.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 24.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EMN — earnings miss
Dated 2025-11-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 3, 2025, the registrant publicly released its financial results for third quarter 2025. The full text of the release is furnished as Exhibit 99.01 to this Current Report on Form 8-K, and is incorporated herein by reference. This information shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of…
Why it matters: The materials sector is declining. Better revenue growth could mean a recovery for Eastman.
Supportive ifMaterials sector reports positive revenue growth for the first time in over a year.
Worry ifThe materials sector still shows negative revenue growth.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means stronger finances and smoother operations. This can help with future investments.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations approaches $1 billion in Q2.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative or below $500 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Improving this segment is important to stop recent drops in revenue. It shows demand is coming back in the textiles market.
Supportive ifFibers segment sales volume goes up by at least 5% from the last period.
Worry ifFibers segment sales volume declines further by more than 5%.
Why it matters: Steady dividends show that management cares about giving value to shareholders. This can help investor trust.
Supportive ifDividend per share remains at $0.84 or increases in Q2.
Worry ifDividend per share decreases from $0.84 in Q1.
Why it matters: Ongoing revenue growth shows good innovation and strong market demand.
Supportive ifRevenue from the circular platform doubles compared to the previous year.
Worry ifRevenue from the circular platform does not show growth or declines.
Why it matters: The sector context score reflects the health of the materials sector. A significant change could impact Eastman's performance.
Watch forThe sector context score goes up a lot. This shows a positive change in the materials sector.
Also watch forThe sector context score goes down more. This shows worse conditions in the materials sector.
Why it matters: Changes in dividends can show shifts in financial health or management focus. Stable dividends show confidence in cash flow.
Watch forManagement pays a quarterly dividend of $0.84 per share.
Also watch forManagement announces a cut or stop to the dividend.
Why it matters: Improvements here are important for revenue growth. They show that market demand is recovering.
Supportive ifSales volume and mix in Advanced Materials increased from the last period.
Worry ifSales volume and mix in Advanced Materials went down or stayed the same.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if cash flow from operations is improving. This is key for the company's financial health.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings report shows cash flow from operations increasing by more than 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 earnings report shows cash flow from operations declining or flat year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping dividend payments shows financial health. It gives investors confidence in cash flow.
Supportive ifManagement says the next dividend payment will happen on time.
Worry ifManagement says there will be a delay or cut in the dividend payment.
Why it matters: Cutting costs is important to make more money after recent income drops. This will affect future earnings.
Supportive ifOperating income in Q2 improves compared to $136M in Q1.
Worry ifOperating income declines further from $136M in Q1.
Why it matters: Management is focused on cutting costs. This is important for better profit margins.
Supportive ifManagement reports a reduction in costs by at least 5% in the next quarter.
Worry ifManagement says that cost-cutting efforts have stopped or gotten worse.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows stronger financial health. It shows management cares about making cash.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations approaches $502 million, the level seen in 2025-Q4.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is still negative or goes down more.
Why it matters: Better margins mean improved pricing and cost control. It shows the company's health.
Supportive ifEBIT margin in Advanced Materials goes up by more than 240 basis points.
Worry ifEBIT margin in Advanced Materials falls or stays the same.
Why it matters: This EPS figure is a key indicator of Eastman's financial health. A strong EPS shows effective cost management and sales growth.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EPS reported at or above $1.97.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EPS reported below $1.70.
Why it matters: These savings are important for better margins and making more money. They show how well management controls costs.
Supportive ifManagement says they will save at least $125 million by the end of the year.
Worry ifCost savings reported below $100 million by year-end.
Why it matters: Changes in raw material costs can change prices and margins. Watching this shows how strong operations are.
Watch forRaw material costs stay steady or drop, which helps margins.
Also watch forRaw material costs rise a lot, which pressures margins.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$105 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $335 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,873 loss on $10,000 · 18.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.