EOG Resources (EOG)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas E&pSnapshot 2026-07-08
$137.59+2.27%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $137.59. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $134 EOG trades at 13× p/e, below its 16× p/e peer median, but our blended $117 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $134–$196. Note: our $117 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($134–$196). Not investment advice.
$134.00 – $196.00 (median $156.50) · 12 analysts · as of 2026-07-02
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $8.45/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $156.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $42.08 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $36.83 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $117.93 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $167.77 | 16.5 | 10.16 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $121.70 | 5.6 | 23.30 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $103.27 | 13.5 | 7.62 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $176.69 | 16.5 | 10.70 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $80.31 | 1.8 | 44.64 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $35.42 | 3.3 | 10.70 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $78.53 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $129.98 | 12.1 | 10.70 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $180.60 | 16.5 | 10.94 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $329.04 | 16.5 | 19.93 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $53.27 | 13.5 | 3.93 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $275.13 | 16.5 | 16.66 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $99.39 | 1.8 | 55.25 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 3Y | $55.16 | 3.3 | 16.66 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $202.39 | 12.1 | 16.66 | Analyst | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $515.53 | 16.5 | 31.22 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $34.27 | 13.5 | 2.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $316.16 | 16.5 | 19.15 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $114.21 | 1.8 | 63.49 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $63.38 | 3.3 | 19.15 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $232.58 | 12.1 | 19.15 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.