Enerpac Tool Group (EPAC)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$37.34+1.08%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EPAC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 64 industry peers
EPAC — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-07-09
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant The information included in
Why it matters: Organic sales growth shows how healthy a business is. Trends will show if this continues.
Watch forOrganic sales growth exceeds 3% year over year.
Also watch forOrganic sales growth falls below 1% year over year.
Why it matters: Earnings below this level may show bigger problems with profits and costs.
Worry ifNet earnings reported below $16 million for Q2.
Less concerning ifNet earnings reported above $20 million for Q2.
Why it matters: How well the EMEA service business restructures will impact profits and growth.
Watch forService revenue in the EMEA region shows improvement, with a decline less than 10% year over year.
Also watch forService revenue in the EMEA region declines more than 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Changes in guidance show that management is confident. They believe they can meet financial goals.
Watch forManagement raises guidance for fiscal 2026. This is for net sales or adjusted EPS.
Also watch forManagement lowers guidance for fiscal 2026. This is for net sales or adjusted EPS.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$106 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $300 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,386 loss on $10,000 · 23.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Restructuring shows that the service business has ongoing problems. This impacts profits.
Worry ifMore restructuring charges are announced in the next earnings report.
Less concerning ifNo new restructuring actions are announced. This shows recovery in the EMEA service business.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how the SFE deal affects the business and its performance.
Watch forQ3 earnings show adjusted EPS above $0.60. This means strong performance.
Also watch forQ3 earnings report shows adjusted EPS below $0.58. This suggests weaker performance.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a stronger demand for Enerpac's products.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth rises above 8% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 6% year over year.
Why it matters: This would signal a slowdown in the IT&S product sales growth trend, raising concerns.
Worry ifQ3 organic sales growth was below 1%.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic sales growth was above 1%.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback program will show how the company uses its money. It shows management's confidence.
Supportive ifThe company announces more share buybacks beyond the $120 million left.
Worry ifNo more share buybacks are announced. This shows a change in how they allocate money.
Why it matters: Closing the SFE Group deal will show if Enerpac can expand its market reach and product offerings.
Supportive ifThe acquisition will close in Q1 Fiscal 2027. There will be no delays from approvals.
Worry ifThe acquisition may have big delays or may not close. This is due to regulatory issues.
Why it matters: Ongoing growth in the IT&S segment is important. It affects Enerpac's performance and market trust.
Supportive ifOrganic sales growth in the IT&S segment exceeds 5% year over year in the next quarter.
Worry ifOrganic sales growth in the IT&S segment falls below 2% year over year.