EPAM Systems (EPAM)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-07-07
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $89.64. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $90 EPAM trades at 7.9× p/e, below its 11× p/e peer median. Our $138 fair value sits well above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $99–$200. Not investment advice.
$99.00 – $200.00 (median $112.00) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-06-15
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $11.38/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $112.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $251.46 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $270.94 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $126.84 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $96.89 | 11.5 | 8.44 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $120.21 | 9.3 | 11.31 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $89.64 | 8.9 | 10.03 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $96.89 | 11.5 | 8.44 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $100.39 | 1.0 | 102.53 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $126.79 | 15.0 | 8.44 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $94.26 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $149.56 | 17.7 | 8.44 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $133.61 | 11.5 | 11.64 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $153.41 | 11.5 | 13.36 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $90.75 | 8.9 | 10.16 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $18.50 | 11.5 | 1.61 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $12.47 | 1.0 | 12.74 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $24.21 | 15.0 | 1.61 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $28.56 | 17.7 | 1.61 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $208.41 | 11.5 | 18.16 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $91.49 | 8.9 | 10.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.