Escalade, Inc. (ESCA)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$20.87+2.81%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ESCA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -19.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers
ESCA — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-30
Other Events. On July 29, 2026, the Board of Directors of Escalade approved a quarterly dividend of fifteen and twenty-five hundredths cents $0.1525 per share would be paid to all shareholders of record on October 6, 2026 and disbursed on October 13, 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping gross margins high shows that operations are improving and costs are controlled.
Supportive ifQ2 gross margin is over 30%. This shows the company is doing well.
Worry ifQ2 gross margin is under 30%. This points to problems in operations.
Why it matters: Sustaining gross margins is key for profitability. A decline could signal deeper issues.
Worry ifGross margin stays the same or gets better compared to last quarter.
Less concerning ifGross margin drops a lot compared to last quarter.
Why it matters: Completing the acquisition could boost growth and market share. Delays may raise concerns.
Supportive ifThe company says it has completed the AllCornhole deal.
Worry ifThe deal is delayed or called off.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial stability. It shows confidence in cash flow for shareholders.
Watch forThe Board confirms the quarterly dividend at $0.1525 per share.
Also watch forThe Board reduces the quarterly dividend below $0.1525 per share.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $360 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,474 loss on $10,000 · 14.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This growth rate will show if Escalade can keep growing despite inflation.
Worry ifQ3 net sales growth below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 net sales growth at or above 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means improved efficiency and profit. It helps with investments and paying off debt.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $8.7 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash flow from operations drops below $6 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Revenue growth may show that the sector is recovering. This could help Escalade.
Supportive ifThe Consumer Discretionary sector has positive revenue growth for the first time in three years.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative for another quarter.
Why it matters: A drop below this level could signal trouble in managing costs and pricing.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 25% in Q3.
Less concerning ifGross margin stays at or above 25% in Q3.
Why it matters: An increase would mean strong cash flow and a promise to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a dividend increase above $0.1525 per share in Q4.
Worry ifNo dividend increase announced in Q4.