Escalade, Inc. (ESCA)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$21.13+3.48%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ESCA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 3.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ESCA — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Other Events. On October 27, 2026, the Board of Directors of Escalade approved a quarterly dividend of fifteen and twenty-five hundredths cents $0.1525 per share would be paid to all shareholders of record on January 4, 2027 and disbursed on January 11, 2027.
Why it matters: Q3 sales fell 3.2%, after Q2 growth of 6.2%. A return to growth would support management’s 2027 sales goal.
Supportive ifQ4 net sales exceed the prior-year quarter, with growth in archery or other named product lines.
Worry ifQ4 net sales fall year over year, and archery gains do not offset declines in other lines.
Why it matters: Management tied its 2027 growth goal to new product launches and a full year from its recent acquisition. Sales results will test that plan.
Supportive ifA 2027 quarterly report shows sales growth from a year earlier. It names new products or Gold Tip as a reason.
Worry ifA 2027 quarterly report shows sales fell from a year earlier. It reports no lift from new products or Gold Tip.
Why it matters: Gross margin rose to 29.4% in Q3, and management called the margin structure sustainable. Lower margins would test that claim.
Supportive ifA later report shows gross margin above the same quarter a year earlier. It does not show a large tariff recovery.
Worry ifA later quarter reports gross margin at or below the same quarter a year earlier.
Why it matters: Escalade reported $14.9 million in Q3 operating cash flow, up from cash use a year earlier. Another positive quarter would support its debt reduction progress.
Supportive ifQ4 cash from operations is above zero and total debt stays below the $13.1 million Q3 level.
Worry ifQ4 cash from operations is below zero or total debt rises above the $13.1 million Q3 level.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$108 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $360 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,934 loss on $10,000 · 19.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.