Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp (ESP)
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$63.35+1.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ESP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $63 ESP trades at 17× p/e, below its 34× p/e peer median. Our $72 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $10.08 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $17.42 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $40.90 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $58.29 | 38.1 | 1.53 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 165% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 10.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.34/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $128.96 |
| 33.9 |
| 3.80 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $52.87 | 3.6 | 14.64 | TTM | medium |
| PEG | 12M | $136.56 | 35.9 | 3.80 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $28.17 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $121.55 | 33.9 | 3.58 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $31.33 | 38.1 | 0.82 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $139.28 | 33.9 | 4.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $73.40 | 3.6 | 20.32 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $147.49 | 35.9 | 4.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $20.71 | 38.1 | 0.54 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $155.74 | 33.9 | 4.59 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $82.07 | 3.6 | 22.73 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $164.92 | 35.9 | 4.59 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |