Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp (ESP)
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$63.35+1.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ESP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 15.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers
ESP — legal / regulatory event — Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant
Dated 2025-10-01
Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant. On September 30, 2025, the Company engaged WithumSmith+Brown, PC (“Withum”) to audit the Company’s financial statements for the year ending June 30, 2026. Withum is the successor to Freed Maxick, P.C. (“FM”), the Company’s prior auditing firm. On August 1, 2025 Withum issued a press release reporting that FM had joined its practice with Withum. SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly…
Why it matters: This report will show how well Espey is managing in a maturing industrial sector. It could impact investor confidence.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth is speeding up. It is now above 4% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well Espey is performing in a tough sector.
Watch forEarnings per share (EPS) beats analyst expectations by more than 10%.
Also watch forEPS falls short of analyst expectations by more than 10%.
Why it matters: Strong RFP status could indicate future revenue growth and stability for Espey.
Supportive ifManagement reports an increase in RFPs or new contracts won in Q3.
Worry ifManagement indicates a decline in RFPs or contract wins in Q3.
Why it matters: PPI data can impact costs and pricing strategies for Espey and its peers.
Watch forPPI shows an increase of more than 0.5% month over month.
Also watch forPPI shows a decrease of more than 0.5% month over month.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$132 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $459 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,917 loss on $10,000 · 29.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This report can change how investors feel about the industrial sector and Espey.
Watch forGDP growth comes in above 2% and corporate profits show improvement.
Also watch forGDP growth is below 1% and corporate profits decline.
Why it matters: CPI changes can impact costs for Espey and affect pricing strategies. This can influence profit margins.
Watch forCPI increases more than 0.5% month over month.
Also watch forCPI decreases or increases less than 0.1% month over month.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it may signal a positive shift in the industrial sector.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the industrial sector is speeding up. It is getting close to 6% or more.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 4% for another quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings results can show how well Espey is doing and its place in the market.
Watch forEarnings are better than what analysts expected and show growth from last year.
Also watch forEarnings are below expectations and show a decline from last year.
Why it matters: A big change in the valuation score can affect investor interest and stock price.
Watch forValuation score goes back above 70 before the earnings report on September 16.
Also watch forValuation score drops below 60 before the earnings report.
Why it matters: High unemployment claims may show economic problems. This could hurt Espey's business outlook.
Worry ifUnemployment claims have risen a lot compared to last week.
Less concerning ifUnemployment claims drop or stabilize at lower levels.
Why it matters: Changes in unemployment claims can signal economic strength or weakness. This affects industrial demand.
Watch forUnemployment claims fall a lot below last week's levels.
Also watch forUnemployment claims rise or remain steady.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector shows renewed growth, it could benefit Espey. This would signal a better market environment.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth exceeds 4% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: GDP growth can signal overall economic health. Strong GDP may boost demand for Espey's products.
Supportive ifGDP growth is reported above 2% for Q2 2026.
Worry ifGDP growth is reported below 1% for Q2 2026.