Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Entergy (ETR)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
$110.30-1.43%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
5.11 → 5.12 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 14 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 14 to 14; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for ETR yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Secure electric service agreements with data centers | The company is expanding electric service agreements with data centers, supporting future growth. | Intact | No material new data center agreements secured over next 12 months | Qualitative: $2.1B Google agreement + 446MW construction vs. target of sustained growth Q3 earnings highlight Google expansion; $2.1B solar payments and 446MW station construction confirm new data center agreements. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
ETR is a regulated utility with a durable-premium profile, rather than a turnaround or speculative-growth story. The multi-year view is on watch: management remains on track with guidance, while recent performance has lagged its industry cohort and confidence is medium.
ETR is valued at a 1.42 premium to peers, and the evidence describes that premium as durable and currently justified. The expectations gap is modest at 0.05, while fragility is low, so the snapshot does not point to unusually concentrated expectations.
Near term, management has reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range, and quarterly diluted EPS rose from the first to the second quarter of 2026. Data-center service agreements are a stated priority, though execution evidence is mixed; recent earnings beats are positive, but performance remains below the industry cohort. The near-term miss risk is assessed as low, but the snapshot notes recent misses among peers and across recent quarters.
A guidance cut on the next call would be a meaningful negative, while continued delivery against the affirmed range would support the operating case. Over the multi-year view, the thesis also hinges on execution of data-center agreements and whether sector conditions improve as interest rates ease or utility peers continue to report strong results.
ETR has visible support from affirmed guidance and data-center priorities, but its expensive peer-relative valuation and lagging cohort performance leave the long-term thesis watchful rather than settled. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated in 3 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: ““We made very strong progress this quarter across customer, operational, regulatory, and financial aspects of our business,” said Drew Marsh, Entergy Chair and Chief Executive Officer.” ““We announced another major hyperscale agreement in Louisiana that includes an additional estimated $2 billion of savings for retail customers consistent with our Fair Share Plus pledge.” Revenue was $3.524 billion in 2026-Q2.
Affirm 2026 EPS guidance of $4.25 to $4.45 | A primary condition in Entergy's published investment case. The stated target is >=4.25 USD per share. | Under Pressure | EPS guidance falls below $4.25 for FY26 | Diluted EPS: $1.98 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >=4.25 USD per share. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Nov 2, 20261.98 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Execute share buyback agreement for 19,247,788 shares | It plans to return capital through a buyback of over 19 million shares. | Intact | Buyback agreement not executed or materially reduced within 12 months | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$5.10 → $5.12 · observed estimates
$15.30B → $15.33B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $5.10 | $15,302,149,983 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-07-25 | $5.08 | $15,283,065,290 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-07-26 | $5.10 | $15,302,149,983 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-07-27 | $5.08 | $15,278,502,790 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-07-28 | $5.08 | $15,278,502,790 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-07-29 | $5.08 | $15,278,502,790 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-07-30 | $5.10 | $15,314,774,983 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-07-31 | $5.10 | $15,315,048,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-01 | $5.10 | $15,315,048,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-02 | $5.10 | $15,318,798,950 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-08-03 | $5.10 | $15,318,798,950 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-08-04 | $5.10 | $15,318,798,950 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-08-05 | $5.10 | $15,318,798,950 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-08-06 | $5.10 | $15,318,798,950 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-08-07 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-08 | $5.10 | $15,298,673,950 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-08-09 | $5.10 | $15,298,673,950 | 22 / 16 |
| 2026-08-10 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-11 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-12 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-13 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-14 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-15 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-16 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-17 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-18 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-19 | $5.10 | $15,294,923,952 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-20 | $5.10 | $15,321,592,480 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-21 | $5.10 | $15,321,592,480 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-22 | $5.10 | $15,321,592,480 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-23 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-24 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-25 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-26 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-27 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-28 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-29 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-30 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-08-31 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-01 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-02 | $5.10 | $15,321,473,091 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-03 | $5.10 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-04 | $5.10 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-05 | $5.10 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-06 | $5.10 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-07 | $5.10 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-08 | $5.10 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-09 | $5.10 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-10 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-11 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 13 / 12 |
| 2026-09-12 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 13 / 12 |
| 2026-09-13 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 13 / 12 |
| 2026-09-14 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 13 / 12 |
| 2026-09-15 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 13 / 12 |
| 2026-09-16 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-17 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-18 | $5.11 | $15,329,739,757 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-19 | $5.11 | $15,313,945,744 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-20 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-21 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-22 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-23 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-24 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-25 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-26 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-27 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-28 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-29 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-09-30 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-01 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-02 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-03 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-04 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-05 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-06 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-07 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-08 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-09 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-10 | $5.11 | $15,330,870,440 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-11 | $5.11 | $15,335,156,154 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-12 | $5.11 | $15,335,156,154 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-13 | $5.11 | $15,335,156,154 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-14 | $5.11 | $15,320,301,082 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-15 | $5.11 | $15,320,301,082 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-16 | $5.11 | $15,326,234,415 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-17 | $5.11 | $15,326,234,415 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-18 | $5.11 | $15,326,234,415 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-19 | $5.11 | $15,326,234,415 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-20 | $5.11 | $15,326,234,415 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-21 | $5.11 | $15,326,234,415 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-22 | $5.11 | $15,327,435,082 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-23 | $5.11 | $15,319,178,726 | 14 / 12 |
| 2026-10-24 | $5.11 | $15,319,178,726 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-10-25 | $5.10 | $15,340,590,641 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-10-26 | $5.10 | $15,340,590,641 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-10-27 | $5.10 | $15,340,590,641 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-10-28 | $5.11 | $15,325,628,478 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-10-29 | $5.11 | $15,325,628,478 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-10-30 | $5.11 | $15,325,628,478 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-10-31 | $5.11 | $15,325,628,478 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-11-01 | $5.11 | $15,325,628,478 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-11-02 | $5.11 | $15,325,628,478 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-11-03 | $5.11 | $15,334,315,978 | 14 / 13 |
| 2026-11-04 | $5.12 | $15,330,226,354 | 14 / 13 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 18 Buy / Strong Buy · 5 Hold · 1 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 6 recorded
0 raises · 3 cuts · 0 unchanged · 2 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.