Entravision Communications Corp. (EVC)
NYSECommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.28+5.20%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EVC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 48.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
EVC — officer change
Dated 2026-10-21
Director — Fehmi Zeko: The filing discloses the resignation of a director and audit committee member, which is a genuine departure from the board, though noted as being for personal reasons.
Why it matters: The company paid down $5 million of its loan in each of the first two quarters. Further payments would support its stated debt plan.
Supportive ifQ3 results show a bank term-loan payment of at least $5 million and total debt below the $157.3 million reported at June 30.
Worry ifQ3 results show no bank term-loan payment, or total debt rises above $157.3 million.
Why it matters: Media lost money in both reported quarters, even as revenue held near flat. A smaller loss would show better results from this segment.
Supportive ifQ3 Media segment operating loss is below $3.3 million, compared with the $3.3 million loss in Q2.
Worry ifQ3 Media segment operating loss is $5.2 million or more, matching or exceeding the Q1 loss.
Why it matters: ATS revenue rose 230% in Q2, with higher advertiser counts and revenue per advertiser. Another strong quarter would support the growth story.
Supportive ifIn the November 5, 2026 results, ATS revenue is up from a year ago. Segment operating profit is above $40 million.
Worry ifATS revenue growth falls below 100% year over year, or segment operating profit falls below $34 million.
Why it matters: The affiliation deal now runs to March 31, 2027. Either side can block each three-month renewal with 30 days' notice.
Watch forA filing or company statement confirms the deal renewed beyond March 31, 2027. No notice of non-renewal was given.
Also watch forEither party gives notice of non-renewal, or the deal ends on March 31, 2027.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$178 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $516 loss on $10,000 · 5.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,482 loss on $10,000 · 54.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.