EVI Industries, Inc. (EVI)
AMEXIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.66+4.83%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EVI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers
EVI — capital allocation
Dated 2026-07-23
The Transaction C Stock Amount and the Transaction D Stock Amount will be issued in reliance upon an exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, pursuant to Section 4(a)(2) thereof, which exempts transactions by an issuer not involving any public offering. The issuance of the Transaction C Stock Amount and the Transaction D Stock Amount will not be a public offering for purposes of Section 4(a)(2) because of its being made only to Messrs. Rudski and…
Why it matters: Achieving this revenue target shows EVI's ability to grow despite recent declines. It is key for future value creation.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $324.7M or higher, showing a 16% increase.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $275M, indicating continued struggles in growth.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if EVI's changes lead to better profits after a recent miss.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth exceeding 10% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Growth in repeat customer revenue shows good cross-selling and keeps customers coming back.
Supportive ifRepeat customer revenue growth exceeds 20% in the next quarter.
Worry ifRepeat customer revenue growth is under 10%. This suggests problems with customer retention.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss would show ongoing money problems. This could hurt investor trust.
Worry ifEarnings report shows a loss greater than the previous quarter's miss.
Less concerning ifEarnings report shows a profit or smaller loss than the last quarter.
Why it matters: This report will reveal if EVI can recover from the recent earnings miss and meet growth targets.
Watch forThe earnings report shows a profit. It meets analyst expectations.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows another miss. It also shows significant losses.
Why it matters: Record revenue would show EVI's growth strategy is working and gaining market share.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue is over $110 million, showing strong growth momentum.
Worry ifQ4 revenue falls below $100 million.
Why it matters: If industrial revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift for EVI.
Supportive if3-year revenue growth in the industrial sector rises above 7%.
Worry if3-year revenue growth in the industrial sector stays below 5%.
Why it matters: Growth in this division shows EVI can use customer ties for repeat sales.
Supportive ifPremier Chemical Solutions reports revenue growth of over 49% from last year.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Finalizing the Sudsies deal is key for EVI's new consumer garment care division. This could drive growth and earnings.
Supportive ifThe deal closes. Sudsies starts adding to EVI's earnings by June 30, 2027.
Worry ifThe acquisition faces delays or fails to close, impacting EVI's growth plans.
Why it matters: News on operations will show if EVI can work better and earn more money.
Supportive ifManagement reports big gains in operations. Gross margin is over 32%.
Worry ifOperational metrics do not improve or drop. This shows problems in execution.
Why it matters: After the Sudsies deal, revenue trends will show if EVI can grow in consumer care.
Watch forQ4 revenue growth is over 10% year-over-year. This shows good integration and market growth.
Also watch forQ4 revenue growth is under 5% year-over-year. This suggests problems in the new division.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$201 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $550 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,167 loss on $10,000 · 61.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.