Reading EVTV? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EVTV free→Reading EVTV? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EVTV free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality is fragile, and management's track record is volatile. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, EVTV is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 36% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile, historically a value-trap pattern. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.48. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.48 EVTV trades at 1× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $2.26 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 36% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 100%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted -17.24x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated fragile grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$315.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,368.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $9,120.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'cautious' to 'restrictive'.
Composite insight fell by 12.5 points (from -18.7 to -31.2).
Valuation label changed from 'inexpensive' to 'expensive'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Advances: Complete merger with Azio AI
Merger with AZIO AI directly supports growth objectives.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Change in Control of Registrant. The information set forth in
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
EVTV ENVIROTECH VEHICLES INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 2 of 100 | expensive | high |
16 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Finalize the merger with Azio AI to enhance strategic capabilities.
Resolve issues related to Nasdaq listing compliance to maintain market presence.
Obtain financing to support operations and strategic initiatives.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Agreement and Plan of Merger On May 19, 2026, Envirotech Vehicles, Inc., a Delaware corporation ("EVTV" or the "Company"), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") by and among (i) the Company, (ii) Azio AI Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Azio AI"), and (iii) EV-AZ Merger Sub, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company ("Merger Sub"). Pursuant to the Merger Agreement, and subject to t…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard ; Transfer of Listing. On April 29, 2026, Envirotech Vehicles, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), received a notice (the “Notice”) from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) notifying the Company that, because the stockholders’ equity for the Company was below $2,500,000 as reported on the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, the Company no l…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officer. Services Agreement On May 19, 2026, the Company entered into a Services Agreement (the "Shell Castle Agreement") with Shell Castle LLC, a Puerto Rico limited liability company ("Shell Castle") that is wholly owned by Jason Maddox, the Company’s President and Interim Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to which Shell Castle will provide executive manag…
Other Events. On May 20, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the signing of the Merger Agreement. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. Important Information About the Proposed Transaction In connection with the proposed Merger, the Company intends to file with the SEC the Registration Statement that will include a proxy statement of the Company and a prospectus of the Company, as well as other relevant document…