eXp World Holdings, Inc. (EXPI)
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$6.74+3.37%
Close 2026-05-07 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXPI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
EXPI — litigation filed
Dated 2026-03-31
Regulation FD Disclosure. As previously disclosed, eXp World Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) and its subsidiaries, eXp Realty, LLC, eXp Realty of California, Inc., eXp Realty of Southern California, Inc., eXp Realty of Greater Los Angeles, Inc., and eXp Realty of Northern California, Inc., entered into a definitive settlement agreement on December 9, 2024 (the “Settlement Agreement”) to resolve on a nationwide basis the pending class action lawsuit brought by 1925 Hooper LLC, et al. (United…
Why it matters: A steady or better aNPS shows agents are happy. This is important for growth.
Supportive ifaNPS reported above 67.
Worry ifaNPS reported below 67.
Why it matters: Low costs help the company make more money and stay healthy.
Supportive ifOperating costs were under $93 million for Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating costs were over $93 million for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If eXp performs better than peers, it may indicate a stronger position in a maturing market.
Supportive ifeXp does better than its peers in the next quarter.
Worry ifeXp's performance lags behind the average performance of its peers over the next quarter.
Why it matters: This guidance shows the company is working better and making more money after the buy.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA meets or exceeds $21 million for Q2 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $16 million for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: More cash flow means stronger finances and better operations.
Supportive ifNet cash from operations was more than $20.6 million.
Worry ifNet cash from operations was less than $20.6 million.
Why it matters: This would show that eXp is gaining momentum in a slowing sector. It could signal a recovery in growth rates.
Supportive ifQ1 revenue growth reported above 7% year over year.
Worry ifQ1 revenue growth reported below 7% year over year.
Why it matters: A rise in NPS shows happier agents. This can help future growth.
Supportive ifAgent NPS rises above 67 in the next quarterly report.
Worry ifAgent NPS declines further from 67.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is key. It helps keep dividend payments and flexibility in operations.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations increases above $20.6 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations declines further from $20.6 million.
Why it matters: If the real estate sector shows renewed growth, it could benefit eXp World Holdings. This affects overall market sentiment.
Watch forSector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: This guidance will show if the company can maintain its revenue growth trend after the NextHome acquisition.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue guidance is confirmed within the range of $1.36 billion to $1.45 billion.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue guidance falls below $1.36 billion.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$153 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $428 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,123 loss on $10,000 · 51.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.