Franklin Covey Co. (FC)
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$19.02+3.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 15.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
FC — President transition
Dated 2026-09-01
Executive Vice President, Operations — Colleen Dom: The filing announces an orderly retirement of the EVP of Operations with a named internal successor, alongside other leadership appointments, indicating planned succession rather than a sudden loss.
Why it matters: Improving sector trends can support Franklin Covey's growth. It may indicate a better environment for sales.
Supportive ifConsumer Staples sector sees revenue growth over 4% compared to last year.
Worry ifConsumer Staples sector revenue growth falls below 4% compared to last year.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift in the sector. This would help Franklin Covey's performance in a maturing market.
Supportive ifThree-year revenue growth hits 4% or more. This shows a recovery.
Worry ifRevenue growth stays below 4%. This means it is still slowing down.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows good cost management. It shows the company's path to making money.
Supportive ifOperating income is up from last year, reaching over $4 million in Q3 results.
Worry ifOperating income stays negative or does not improve from past quarters.
Why it matters: Growth in deferred revenue shows future sales. It shows demand for services.
Supportive ifDeferred revenue grows by over 7% year-over-year in Q4.
Worry ifDeferred revenue growth is less than 7% year-over-year in Q4.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$181 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $464 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,520 loss on $10,000 · 45.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The company's revenue guidance affects how investors feel. It also impacts future growth.
Watch forManagement reaffirms Q4 revenue guidance within the range of $260 million to $267 million.
Also watch forManagement cuts Q4 revenue estimate to less than $260 million.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA shows how well the company operates. It also shows profit trends.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA for Q4 meets or exceeds the guidance range of $28 million to $31 million.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA falls below $28 million in Q4.
Why it matters: Cash flow is important for funding operations. It also supports growth plans.
Watch forFree cash flow turns positive in Q4.
Also watch forFree cash flow remains negative in Q4.