FTI Consulting (FCN)
NYSEIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$195.99-1.17%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FCN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FCN — strategy / product update — Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities
Dated 2026-10-30
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. During the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, the Company initiated a plan to align staffing with demand (the "Plan"), which included targeted headcount reductions and real estate-related actions. All affected employees were notified by October 29, 2026, and the Plan included the termination of approximately 4% of the Company's more than 8,200 employees between the third quarter and fourth quarter of 2026. All such employees will be rele…
Why it matters: FTI kept its revenue range after three quarters of growth. Full-year results will show if that growth met its stated plan.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue is at least $3.940 billion and no more than $4.100 billion.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 revenue is below $3.940 billion.
Why it matters: FLC revenue barely grew in Q3, while adjusted EBITDA fell from a year earlier. Higher costs could keep profit under pressure.
Worry ifFLC adjusted segment EBITDA falls below $38.0 million, or revenue falls from last year.
Less concerning ifFLC adjusted segment EBITDA tops $38.0 million as revenue grows from last year.
Why it matters: FTI plans to cut costs after lower net income and a large special charge. Savings in results would show the plan is taking hold.
Supportive ifFTI reports annual cost savings near $80 million from staffing and real estate actions.
Worry ifFTI reports savings well below $80 million, or records further large costs tied to the plan.
Why it matters: FTI raised its adjusted EPS range but cut its GAAP EPS range. The year-end result will test the higher adjusted profit view.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $9.50.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is below $9.50, or FTI cuts the range again.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $317 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,025 loss on $10,000 · 30.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.