Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. (FDP)
NYSEConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$28.34-1.36%
Close 2026-07-23 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FDP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 12.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FDP — dividend update
Dated 2026-04-28
Other Events. On April 28, 2026, Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. issued a press release announcing the declaration of a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share on its outstanding common stock. The dividend will be paid on June 11, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on May 19, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Fresh Del Monte says cash from operations supports investment and shareholder returns. A drop would weaken that support.
Supportive ifQuarterly operating cash flow stays at least $49.9 million.
Worry ifQuarterly operating cash flow falls below $10.9 million, the 2025-Q4 level.
Why it matters: Higher costs cut into banana profit, even as selling prices rose. A lower margin would show costs still outpace prices.
Worry ifBanana gross margin falls below 4.6% in a reported quarter.
Less concerning ifBanana gross margin stays at or above 4.6% as selling prices cover higher costs.
Why it matters: The March deal added $82.5 million in first-quarter sales, but costs cut its margin. A full quarter will show how the added business performs.
Watch forThe prepared foods segment posts higher sales and a gross margin above 10.8% in a full quarter.
Also watch forPrepared foods sales fall from the first-quarter level of $82.5 million, or gross margin drops below 10.8%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$137 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $344 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,706 loss on $10,000 · 37.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.