FirstEnergy (FE)
NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-07
$48.39+1.43%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $48.39. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $48 FE trades at 2.0× p/b, below its 2.3× p/b peer median, but our blended $48 fair value is roughly in line with the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $51–$55. Note: our $48 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($51–$55). Not investment advice.
$51.00 – $55.00 (median $52.00) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-06-24
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $52.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $34.10 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $37.65 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $66.47 | 24.4 | 2.72 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $56.61 | 2.3 | 24.32 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $63.91 | 24.4 | 2.62 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $82.24 | 3.1 | 26.77 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $79.23 | 30.3 | 2.62 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $26.96 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $41.63 | 15.9 | 2.62 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $64.04 | 24.4 | 2.62 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $86.32 | 24.4 | 3.53 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $74.41 | 2.3 | 31.97 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $102.74 | 24.4 | 4.20 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $89.29 | 2.3 | 38.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.