FirstEnergy (FE)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
$47.18-0.02%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FE — earnings in line
Dated 2026-04-28
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 28, 2026, FirstEnergy Corp. (“FirstEnergy” or the “Company”) issued a news release (the “Release”) announcing its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company has presented certain financial information in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and also on…
Why it matters: FirstEnergy kept its $2.62 to $2.82 per-share range and said results may reach or pass the midpoint.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 Core Earnings are at least $2.72 per share, the midpoint of the guided range.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 Core Earnings are below $2.62 per share, or FirstEnergy cuts the range before reporting results.
Why it matters: More signed demand could support new grid and generation projects. FirstEnergy is also in talks for about 4 GW more.
Supportive ifIn a later update, FirstEnergy reports more than 7.9 GW of contracted demand from large loads.
Worry ifContracted demand falls below 7.9 GW, or later reports show the 4 GW of talks did not become contracts.
Why it matters: FirstEnergy links more large-customer demand to added grid spending. A larger plan would support its long-term growth case.
Supportive ifThe 2027–2031 transmission plan is at least 25% larger than the current $19 billion plan.
Worry ifThe new plan is less than 25% larger than $19 billion, or FirstEnergy reports a cut to the plan.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$69 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $179 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,713 loss on $10,000 · 17.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.