Franklin Electric (FELE)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$99.76+0.49%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FELE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers
FELE — debt issuance
Dated 2025-10-02
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. As previously reported in a Form 8-K filed by Franklin Electric Co., Inc. on May 15, 2024, (the “May 8-K”), Franklin Electric Co., Inc. ("the Company”), and Franklin Electric B.V., a Netherlands private company with limited liability (“Franklin B.V”, and together with the Company, collectively, the “Borrowers”), entered into two Private Shelf Agreements (the “Private Shelf Agreements”) with the purchasers named therein (the “Purchasers”). On Septemb…
Why it matters: Weak growth in Water Systems would signal potential issues in demand or pricing power. This segment is crucial for overall performance.
Worry ifWater Systems sales growth in Q3 is below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifWater Systems sales growth in Q3 exceeds 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Growth trends in the sector affect Franklin Electric's performance and future.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up to over 8% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth slows below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding the guidance shows strong demand and effective execution. It confirms the company's growth strategy.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 earnings report shows net sales between $2.17 billion and $2.24 billion.
Worry ifQ2 2026 earnings report shows net sales below $2.17 billion.
Why it matters: These purchases could help Franklin Electric grow. They may also improve its market position.
Supportive ifWatch for news that the three companies are now working well together.
Worry ifWatch for any delays or issues with the purchase or integration.
Why it matters: Earnings below this level might show weaker profits and upset investors.
Worry ifQ2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS was below $1.00.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS reported at or above $1.00.
Why it matters: Slower growth in operating income might mean rising costs or inefficiencies. This can hurt profits.
Worry ifOperating income growth reported below 9% year over year in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifOperating income growth reported at or above 9% year over year in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in operating margin may mean costs are rising or there are problems.
Worry ifOperating income margin was below 9.6% in Q2.
Less concerning ifOperating income margin was above 9.6% in Q2.
Why it matters: A slowdown in revenue growth may mean less demand or problems in operations.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth remains above 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping or improving operating margins shows good cost control. This means strong profits.
Supportive ifOperating income margin stays at or above 15% in Q3.
Worry ifOperating income margin falls below 14% in Q3.
Why it matters: If inflation hits margins hard, it may show cost management problems. This would hurt profits.
Worry ifOperating margin stays the same despite inflation in Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating margin declines due to rising costs in Q3.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$97 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $229 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,818 loss on $10,000 · 18.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.