Five9, Inc. (FIVN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$33.27-2.43%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FIVN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -51.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 10.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 62.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FIVN — President transition
Dated 2026-06-22
Executive Vice President of Product Engineering — Panos Kozanian: Mr. Kozanian and the Company mutually agreed to begin a transition with respect to his responsibilities.
Why it matters: Earnings per share in this range confirms strong profitability. It reflects effective cost management.
Supportive ifQ2 EPS reported at $0.65 or higher.
Worry ifQ2 EPS reported below $0.65.
Why it matters: A successful buyback can support stock price and show confidence in the company’s value.
Supportive ifThe stock price goes up after the $90 million share buyback news.
Worry ifThe stock price goes down even after the buyback news.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth would signal a weakening trend in the IT sector.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: New leaders can change strategy and execution. Their work can affect revenue and market.
Watch forThe company is doing well after new leaders were chosen.
Also watch forNo change in performance metrics after the new appointments.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$217 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $660 loss on $10,000 · 6.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,026 loss on $10,000 · 50.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Strong EPS guidance shows the company expects solid earnings growth. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifManagement maintains EPS guidance between $3.22 and $3.30 in the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement revises EPS guidance down below $3.22 in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can change company plans and results. This helps us see the future.
Worry ifLook for good updates or results after the executive change.
Less concerning ifWatch for bad updates or results that show problems.
Why it matters: Keeping guidance above this level shows strong demand. It also shows growth momentum. This reflects management's confidence in the business.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue guidance confirmed in the range of $316 million to $322 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance falls below $316 million.
Why it matters: Faster subscription revenue growth shows strong market demand. It also shows good use of AI strategies.
Supportive ifSubscription revenue growth is over 10% year-over-year in Q3.
Worry ifSubscription revenue growth falls below 10% year-over-year in Q3.
Why it matters: High retention rates show customer satisfaction. This leads to stable revenue, which is important for long-term growth.
Supportive ifThe LTM subscription dollar retention rate is above 106%.
Worry ifThe LTM subscription dollar retention rate is below 106%.
Why it matters: Faster AI revenue growth supports Five9's strategy. It also helps its market position.
Supportive ifAI revenue growth speeds up beyond current rates in the next quarters.
Worry ifAI revenue growth stagnates or declines.