Five9, Inc. (FIVN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$36.35+1.62%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FIVN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -29.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 12.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FIVN — President transition
Dated 2026-06-22
Executive Vice President of Product Engineering — Panos Kozanian: Mr. Kozanian and the Company mutually agreed to begin a transition with respect to his responsibilities.
Why it matters: Five9 says AI may take the place of some contact center licenses. It warns that AI sales must replace that lost revenue.
Watch forFive9 reports that AI revenue growth makes up for any drop in subscription revenue from licenses.
Also watch forFive9 reports falling license revenue without enough AI sales to offset the decline.
Why it matters: Five9 guided to Q3 revenue of $316 million to $322 million. A result above that range would extend its recent growth.
Supportive ifOn November 5, Q3 revenue is above $322 million and year-over-year growth is above 10%.
Worry ifOn November 5, Q3 revenue is below $316 million.
Why it matters: Adjusted gross margin fell from 63.0% a year ago to 61.4% in Q2. Another drop would show more pressure on margins.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted gross margin is below 61.4%.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted gross margin is at or above 63.0%.
Why it matters: Subscription growth rose from 13% in Q1 to 14% in Q2. A further rise would support the company's growth focus.
Supportive ifThe next reported subscription revenue growth rate is above 14% year over year.
Worry ifThe next reported subscription revenue growth rate is below 13% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$246 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $666 loss on $10,000 · 6.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,085 loss on $10,000 · 40.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.