Flowserve (FLS)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$81.18+0.19%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FLS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 16.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 41.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 25.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FLS — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-14
CFO — Amy B. Schwetz: The CFO resigned to join another company, but the filing explicitly names an internal successor (Brian Ezzell) effective immediately after the departure, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Backlog reached a company record, but sales fell 1.2% organically in Q3. Faster sales growth would show that orders are converting.
Supportive ifQuarterly organic sales growth turns positive. Backlog stays above $3.5 billion.
Worry ifOrganic sales fall further. Backlog drops below $3.5 billion.
Why it matters: Flowserve cut its sales view as Middle East disruption delays orders. A better result would show that more backlog is turning into sales.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 organic sales decline is less than 1.5%, the high end of the guide.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 organic sales decline is worse than 2.5%, the low end of the guide.
Why it matters: Flowserve raised the low end of its profit guide after strong year-to-date results. The full-year result will test that earnings progress.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $4.10 and does not exceed the $4.20 high end.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS falls below $4.10 or Flowserve cuts its guide.
Why it matters: Margins rose in Q2 and Q3, and management points to more gains. A drop below 15% would break that recent pattern.
Watch forQ4 adjusted operating margin is above 15%. It is also higher than the 14.8% reported in Q3 2025.
Also watch forQ4 adjusted operating margin is below 15% or lower than a year ago.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$130 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $409 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,983 loss on $10,000 · 29.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.