Flexsteel Industries, Inc. (FLXS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$82.16+2.23%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FLXS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 22.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers
FLXS — director transition
Dated 2026-04-28
Director — F. Brooks Bertsch: Resigned pursuant to the terms of the Stock Repurchase Agreement.
Why it matters: Inflation data impacts how much people spend on furniture.
Watch forConsumer Price Index shows inflation is below 3%.
Also watch forConsumer Price Index shows inflation is above 5%.
Why it matters: Sales performance in Q4 will show how well Flexsteel is managing demand pressures. Flat or declining sales would signal ongoing challenges.
Worry ifQ4 sales reported to be flat or down compared to the prior year.
Less concerning ifQ4 sales show growth above 1% year over year.
Why it matters: Maintaining margins is key for Flexsteel's profitability. A drop could signal deeper issues.
Worry ifOperating margins stay the same or get better compared to Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating margins drop a lot from Q3 levels.
Why it matters: Weak demand can hurt profitability. This will show if current pressures are lasting.
Worry ifQ3 earnings report shows a big drop in demand.
Less concerning ifQ3 earnings report shows steady or rising demand.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$123 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $367 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,364 loss on $10,000 · 33.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Increased costs could hurt margins and profitability. Monitoring this will help gauge the impact of external factors on Flexsteel.
Worry ifManagement says higher supply chain costs are hurting margins.
Less concerning ifIf costs stabilize or drop, margin worries will ease.
Why it matters: Demand pressure affects growth. Signs of recovery could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifNew orders increase by more than 5% compared to the previous quarter.
Worry ifNew orders decline by more than 5%, confirming demand weakness.
Why it matters: If demand improves, it could boost profitability and offset current pressures. This is crucial for growth.
Supportive ifQuarterly sales increase by more than 5% compared to Q3.
Worry ifQuarterly sales decline or grow less than 2% compared to Q3.
Why it matters: Sector trends affect Flexsteel's sales. A recovery could boost growth prospects.
Supportive ifConsumer spending sector shows good revenue growth.
Worry ifSector continues to show declining revenue growth.
Why it matters: The buyback can signal confidence in the stock. It may support share price.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of more share buybacks or finishing the current buyback.
Worry ifNo updates or cancellation of the buyback program.
Why it matters: Sales growth under 1% shows weak consumer demand and lower profits.
Worry ifSales growth for Q1 2027 reported below 1% compared to the prior year quarter.
Less concerning ifSales growth for Q1 2027 reported above 4% compared to the prior year quarter.
Why it matters: An operating margin under 6.5% shows it is hard to keep profits with rising costs.
Worry ifOperating margin for Q1 2027 was below 6.5%.
Less concerning ifOperating margin for Q1 2027 was above 7%.
Why it matters: Completing the share buyback shows that management trusts the company's value and future.
Supportive ifThey said the share buyback is now finished.
Worry ifAnnouncement of delays or changes to the share repurchase plan.