Floor & Decor (FND)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$53.41+10.92%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FND
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 0 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FND — Chair transition
Dated 2026-10-29
Executive Chair — Thomas Taylor: The filing details an orderly transition of the Executive Chair to a non-executive role and a routine director retirement, rather than a sudden loss of a senior executive.
Why it matters: The October outlook lowered the adjusted EPS range. A miss would add to concern about earnings in a weak demand setting.
Worry ifFiscal 2026 adjusted diluted EPS is below $1.88, the low end of the October outlook.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2026 adjusted diluted EPS is $1.88 or more. This is within the October outlook of $1.88 to $1.98.
Why it matters: Adjusted gross margin was 43.8% for the first nine months, nearly flat from last year. A lower Q4 result would show margin pressure.
Worry ifQ4 adjusted gross margin is below 43.8%.
Less concerning ifQ4 adjusted gross margin is 43.8% or higher.
Why it matters: Store growth is a stated company priority. Floor & Decor had opened 12 stores by week 39, with eight more needed to reach its plan.
Supportive ifThe company says it opened 20 new warehouse stores in fiscal 2026.
Worry ifThe company says it opened fewer than 20 new warehouse stores in fiscal 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$204 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $489 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,326 loss on $10,000 · 43.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.