Freshworks, Inc. (FRSH)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$12.70-4.22%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FRSH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -22.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 15.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 37.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name recently missed its own guidance and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 61 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FRSH — restructuring
Dated 2026-08-04
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. In May 2026, the Company announced a restructuring plan (the Plan) to streamline the Company’s organizational efforts and product development process, as well as increase leverage of AI and automation across the business. During the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, we recognized $7.0 million in restructuring charges primarily associated with employee severance and benefit costs, in our condensed consolidated statements of operations.…
Why it matters: Net dollar retention fell to 104% in Q2 from 106% in Q1. A rise would show stronger growth from current customers.
Supportive ifQ3 net dollar retention is above 104%.
Worry ifQ3 net dollar retention is 104% or lower.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue grew 16%, and Freshworks raised its 2026 revenue range. Q3 results test whether that growth continues.
Supportive ifOn November 3, Q3 revenue is at least $244.5M, the low end of guidance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $244.5M, the low end of guidance.
Why it matters: Freshworks said Copilot was part of over 71% of new enterprise deals. Continued use would support its AI product push.
Supportive ifFreshworks reports Copilot in more than 71% of new enterprise deals again.
Worry ifFreshworks reports Copilot in 71% or fewer of new enterprise deals.
Why it matters: Freshworks reported its first GAAP profit in Q2, while restructuring charges remain part of the plan. Q3 results test profit delivery.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP operating income is below $59M, the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifQ3 non-GAAP operating income is at least $59M, the low end of guidance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$213 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $506 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,881 loss on $10,000 · 48.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The board approved a repurchase program, but the inputs show no purchases yet. A filing would confirm execution.
Watch forA company filing reports shares bought under the $400M program.
Also watch forA company filing reports no shares bought, or the program is ended or cut.