Federal Signal Corporation (FSS)
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$117.93+0.67%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FSS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FSS — CEO transition
Dated 2026-02-26
Director — Richard A. Maue and Eric A. Vaillancourt: The Board of Directors increased its size from seven to nine directors and appointed Richard A. Maue and Eric A. Vaillancourt.
Why it matters: Aftermarket sales were about 21% of 2025 sales. Growth would show progress in a stated company priority.
Supportive ifA later report shows aftermarket sales above the same period a year earlier. Its share of total sales is above 21%.
Worry ifA later report shows aftermarket sales flat or lower year over year, or its share falls below 21%.
Why it matters: Management targets cash from operations equal to net income. A result below that mark would miss its stated goal.
Watch forFull-year cash from operations divided by net income is 100% or higher.
Also watch forFull-year cash from operations divided by net income is below 100%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $331 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,723 loss on $10,000 · 17.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.