TechnipFMC (FTI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$79.84-0.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FTI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 10.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers
FTI — officer change
Dated 2026-06-01
Director — Eric Mullins: Eric Mullins was elected to the Board and appointed to the Audit Committee.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong future revenue. It shows demand and project health.
Supportive ifBacklog is over $16 billion in the next quarterly report.
Worry ifBacklog is below $15 billion in the next quarterly report.
Why it matters: Higher operating income growth shows good cost management. This is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifOperating income growth reported above 20% year over year for Q2.
Worry ifOperating income growth reported below 10% year over year for Q2.
Why it matters: Changes in capital spending plans could affect future growth and cash flow.
Watch forManagement says they will spend about $340 million on capital in 2026.
Also watch forManagement changes capital spending to much more or less than $340 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Updates on cash flow will show if the company gives 70% back to shareholders.
Supportive ifTotal shareholder payouts in Q2 2026 are over $285 million.
Worry ifTotal shareholder payouts in Q2 2026 are under $285 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$152 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $325 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,650 loss on $10,000 · 16.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A higher value means more project chances. It also boosts future order expectations.
Supportive ifThe value of the Subsea Opportunity List is now over $30 billion.
Worry ifSubsea Opportunity List value drops or stays below $29 billion.
Why it matters: High distributions show strong cash flow and care for shareholders. This builds investor trust.
Supportive ifShareholder payments are more than 70% of free cash flow this quarter.
Worry ifDistributions fall below 70% of free cash flow for the quarter.
Why it matters: Maintaining the dividend signals strong cash flow and commitment to shareholders. It reflects financial health.
Supportive ifDividend per share remains at $0.05 in Q2.
Worry ifDividend per share is cut below $0.05 in Q2.
Why it matters: More backlog means strong future revenue and good operations.
Supportive ifSubsea backlog reported above $16 billion at the end of Q2.
Worry ifSubsea backlog reported below $16 billion at the end of Q2.
Why it matters: Consistent free cash flow helps return 70% to shareholders.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported above $1.3 billion for 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $1.3 billion for 2026.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows good execution and demand in the market.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth was over 10% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth was under 10% compared to last year.
Why it matters: This report will provide key insights into financial performance and order trends.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue and orders are better than expected.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows revenue and orders are worse than expected.
Why it matters: This shows the company believes it can reach $10 billion in Subsea orders for 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 Subsea inbound orders reported at $2.5 billion or more.
Worry ifQ3 Subsea inbound orders fall below $2 billion.
Why it matters: High free cash flow helps the company return cash to its shareholders.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported above $450 million for Q3.
Worry ifFree cash flow drops below $350 million in Q3.
Why it matters: A margin over 20% shows good cost control and efficient operations.
Supportive ifSubsea profit margin was over 20% in Q3.
Worry ifSubsea operating profit margin falls below 18% in Q3.