GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP INC (GBTG)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
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Put GBTG beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Positive cash from operations near prior $52-$85 million range: OCF -$15.0M vs $50.0M target.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 30% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 26%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 0% on a typical day and fell roughly 40% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGBTG's growth strategy is supported by its upcoming acquisition at $9.50. This acquisition is expected to enhance its market position. Revenue grew 38% year over year, but the last quarter missed expectations. GBTG trades at 19× P/E, which is in line with its peer median. The price reflects less growth than forecasted, indicating modest expectations. A specific risk is the 24% probability of a miss next quarter. The thesis is on watch due to the latest earnings miss. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. GBTG is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 4 analysts currently covering GBTG (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBTG Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GBTG next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Complete acquisition by Long Lake Management
Acquisition confirms growth strategy and enhances market position.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Advances: Complete acquisition by Long Lake Management
Acquisition confirms growth strategy and enhances market position.

Investigations could pose risks to company operations.