GE Aerospace (GE)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$314.73-4.47%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 34.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GE — officer appointment
Dated 2026-09-22
Director — Judson Althoff: The filing reports the appointment of a newly elected director to the Audit Committee, which is a routine administrative board action.
Why it matters: More supplier parts can help GE build engines and serve customers. A slowdown could limit sales growth.
Watch forEngine deliveries keep rising year over year. Priority supplier material input also stays up year over year.
Also watch forEngine deliveries fall from a year earlier, or input from priority suppliers falls from a year earlier.
Why it matters: GE raised its cash forecast to $9.1-$9.4 billion. Meeting the low end would show it can turn strong sales into cash.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is at least $9.1 billion, with conversion above 100%.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is below $9.1 billion or conversion is 100% or less.
Why it matters: The deal is meant to add casting capacity for engines and defense work. A delay could push back that added capacity.
Watch forGE completes the CPP acquisition in the stated window: the second half of 2027.
Also watch forGE delays the deal beyond the second half of 2027, or the deal does not close.
Why it matters: GE raised its profit forecast twice in 2026. Reaching the new low end would confirm that stronger results are reaching the bottom line.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 operating profit is at least $10.9 billion.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 operating profit is below $10.9 billion or GE cuts its $10.9-$11.0 billion range.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$125 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $365 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,507 loss on $10,000 · 25.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Services are a key source of GE's growth. The $170 billion backlog gives this target a clear test.
Supportive ifGE reports 2027 commercial services growth in the low double digits or higher.
Worry ifGE reports 2027 commercial services growth below the low double digits or cuts its growth outlook.