GE Aerospace (GE)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$337.12+1.09%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 26.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 55 industry peers
GE — officer change
Dated 2026-06-11
Director — Judson Althoff: Election of a new independent director to the Board.
Why it matters: New contracts can show growth in Defense & Propulsion Technologies. This helps revenue.
Supportive ifNew defense contracts worth over $500 million were announced.
Worry ifNo new significant defense contracts announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: News on LEAP engine deliveries shows how well operations are doing and the demand.
Watch forLEAP engine deliveries reported to be up 30% or more year over year.
Also watch forLEAP engine deliveries reported to be flat or declining year over year.
Why it matters: The backlog reflects future revenue potential. Growth in backlog indicates strong demand.
Supportive ifThe backlog for commercial services is over $170 billion.
Worry ifBacklog is going down or staying the same. This suggests demand is weakening.
Why it matters: New contracts will help growth in Defense & Propulsion Technologies. This shows management's focus.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least two new defense contracts in Q3.
Worry ifNo new defense contracts announced in Q3.
Why it matters: Maintaining revenue guidance shows GE Aerospace can meet its growth goals. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifGE Aerospace says full-year revenue guidance is the same after the Q2 earnings call.
Worry ifGE Aerospace lowers full-year revenue guidance during the Q2 earnings call.
Why it matters: If growth is over 20%, it shows strong demand and good service and equipment.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth reported above 20% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 15% year over year.
Why it matters: Growth in this area shows strong demand. It helps the company perform better.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue from Commercial Engines & Services grows year over year by more than 20%.
Worry ifQ3 revenue from Commercial Engines & Services grows year over year by less than 10%.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow shows healthy operations and the ability to fund growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations was above $3.5 billion.
Worry ifCash flow from operations was below $3 billion.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector shows renewed growth, it could benefit GE Aerospace's performance. This is crucial for long-term success.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up above 6% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows down below 6% year over year.
Why it matters: Weak growth in the defense segment could indicate challenges in securing contracts.
Worry ifDefense & Propulsion Technologies revenue growth is less than 10% from last year.
Less concerning ifDefense & Propulsion Technologies revenue growth is more than 10% from last year.
Why it matters: Keeping EPS guidance shows strong earnings potential. It can help improve investor feelings.
Supportive ifManagement confirms EPS guidance during the earnings call on July 16, 2026.
Worry ifManagement lowers EPS guidance during the earnings call.
Why it matters: Changes may show shifts in market conditions. They could also point to operational problems.
Watch forManagement raises 2026 guidance for revenue, profit, or EPS.
Also watch forManagement lowers 2026 guidance for revenue, profit, or EPS.
Why it matters: Meeting operating margin guidance is key for making money. It shows how GE Aerospace manages costs.
Supportive ifOperating margin for Q2 meets or exceeds the guidance provided earlier in the year.
Worry ifOperating margin for Q2 falls below the guidance provided earlier in the year.
Why it matters: Maintaining EPS guidance signals strong earnings potential. This is important for market perception.
Supportive ifEPS guidance remains unchanged during the Q2 earnings call.
Worry ifEPS guidance is lowered during the Q2 earnings call.
Why it matters: A successful rollout will improve engine performance. It will also help future revenue growth.
Supportive ifThe LEAP-1B durability kit rollout will start in Q4 2026.
Worry ifDelay in the rollout of the LEAP-1B durability kit beyond Q4 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$129 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $355 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,085 loss on $10,000 · 20.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.