Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC)
AMEXIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.42+1.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GENC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 31.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GENC — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-06-17
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. As previously disclosed, On May 19, 2026, Gencor Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) received a notice (the “Delinquency Notification”) from NYSE Regulation (the “NYSE”) indicating the Company was not in compliance with the NYSE American LLC (“NYSE American”) continued listing standards as a result of its failure to timely file its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2026…
Why it matters: Lower trade show costs would help operating income. It would also show better cost management.
Supportive ifTrade show expenses reported below $3 million in Q3.
Worry ifTrade show costs were over $3.5 million in Q3. This shows ongoing cost pressures.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong demand. This could help revenue grow in future quarters.
Supportive ifBacklog increases to more than $60.5 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or stays below $60.5 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows the company is financially healthy. This helps Gencor stay stable.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $10M in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls below $5M. This shows there may be problems.
Why it matters: A smooth CFO change is important for money management and plans.
Watch forRaymond Cole, the new CFO, shares plans to stabilize finances.
Also watch forNew leaders can create uncertainty. This may lead to delays in financial reports.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$114 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $380 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,423 loss on $10,000 · 24.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This report will show if revenue growth continues after recent increases. It is key for understanding ongoing performance.
Supportive ifThe earnings report shows revenue over $34M. This means the company is still growing.
Worry ifEarnings report shows revenue below $30M, suggesting growth has stalled.
Why it matters: The new CFO's plans will shape Gencor's financial strategy moving forward. Investors will look for signs of stability or change.
Watch forThe earnings report shows better financial numbers than before.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows ongoing money problems or bad news ahead.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial strategy and reporting. This could affect investor perception and company performance.
Watch forThe new CFO is changing financial reporting. This will make things clearer.
Also watch forNew CFO's changes lead to confusion or delays in financial reporting.
Why it matters: Filing the Form 10-Q is crucial to regain compliance with NYSE listing standards. Failure to file could lead to delisting.
Worry ifThe company files the Form 10-Q with the SEC by the November 18 deadline.
Less concerning ifThe company fails to file the Form 10-Q by November 18, 2026.
Why it matters: Fixing the delisting notice is key for market trust and share price.
Supportive ifGencor files its overdue Q1 2026 report with the NYSE, resolving the delisting notice.
Worry ifGencor fails to file the report by the deadline, risking further delisting actions.
Why it matters: If the sector's revenue growth picks up, it may benefit Gencor's performance. This could signal a healthier industrial environment.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth rises above 5% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth continues to slow or stays below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: A rise in revenue growth is key for the company's future. It shows demand recovery.
Supportive ifRevenue exceeds $33.8 million in the next quarterly report.
Worry ifRevenue remains below $33.8 million in the next quarterly report.
Why it matters: Filing the Form 10-Q is crucial to regain compliance with NYSE listing standards. Failure to file could lead to delisting.
Worry ifGencor files its Form 10-Q with the SEC by the November 18 deadline.
Less concerning ifGencor fails to file the Form 10-Q by the deadline, risking delisting.
Why it matters: A growing backlog indicates strong demand and supports future revenue growth. It is key for sustainable performance.
Supportive ifBacklog increases to more than $60.5 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifBacklog is less than $60.5 million. This shows weak demand.
Why it matters: A rise in revenue shows recovery from the recent drop. It helps management's growth plans.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue exceeds $33.8 million, showing growth from the previous year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is down compared to last year. This shows ongoing weakness.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means better cost management. This helps the company make more money.
Supportive ifOperating income exceeds $5.8 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating income is below $5.8 million. This suggests ongoing cost problems.