GEN Restaurant Group Inc (GENK)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.43+2.88%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GENK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
GENK — capital allocation
Dated 2026-09-29
The shares of Class A Common Stock that may be issued pursuant to the Purchase Agreement will be issued without registration under the Securities Act, in reliance on the exemptions provided by Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act as a transaction not involving a public offering and Rule 506(b) promulgated under the Securities Act as sales to accredited investors, and in reliance on similar exemptions under applicable state laws. This Current Report on Form 8-K shall not constitute an offer t…
Why it matters: CPG sales grew 341% from Q1 to Q2, and GEN cited a $35 million to $40 million run rate. Q3 results can test that growth.
Supportive ifQ3 CPG sales rise from Q2, and GEN reports new store placements or repeat Costco orders.
Worry ifQ3 CPG sales fall from Q2, or GEN reports lost retail placements or no repeat orders.
Why it matters: GEN said the six location exits would help restaurant results from Q3. Q2 restaurant-level margin was 11.3%, up from 7.4% in Q1.
Supportive ifQ3 restaurant margin stays at or above 11.3%.
Worry ifQ3 restaurant margin falls below 11.3%.
Why it matters: Q2 ended with $5.9 million in cash and $24.0 million in debt. GEN also filed agreements tied to possible share sales and stock purchases.
Worry ifThe Nov. 6 report shows cash above $5.9 million and debt at or below $24.0 million.
Less concerning ifThe Nov. 6 report shows cash below $5.9 million or debt above $24.0 million.
Why it matters: Comparable restaurant sales fell 9.3% in Q2, while Q1 fell 8.8%. More decline may weigh on the restaurant business.
Worry ifQ3 comparable restaurant sales fall more than 9.3% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 comparable restaurant sales improve from the Q2 decline of 9.3%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$209 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $798 loss on $10,000 · 8.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,298 loss on $10,000 · 53.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.