Griffon Corporation (GFF)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$99.68+1.97%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GFF
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $100 GFF trades at 18× p/e, below its 19× p/e peer median, but our blended $84 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $17.01 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $51.34 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $18.90 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $31.21 | 11.6 | 4.94 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 240% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.68/sh owner earnings.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $119.21 |
| 18.7 |
| 6.37 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $100.23 | 16.4 | 6.11 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $103.74 | 1.8 | 56.78 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $159.39 | 28.7 | 5.55 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $22.64 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $88.96 | 16.0 | 5.55 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $112.49 | 18.9 | 5.96 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $89.20 | 18.7 | 4.77 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $70.95 | 16.4 | 4.32 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $35.91 | 1.8 | 19.66 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $124.12 | 28.7 | 4.32 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $69.27 | 16.0 | 4.32 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $73.52 | 18.7 | 3.93 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $34.98 | 16.4 | 2.13 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $17.71 | 1.8 | 9.69 | guidance | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $61.19 | 28.7 | 2.13 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $34.15 | 16.0 | 2.13 | Analyst | high |