G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$33.14+5.74%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GIII
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -50.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
GIII — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-20
OTHER EVENTS. On August 18, 2026, the Board of Directors of the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share in respect of the Company’s common stock (the “Dividend”). The Dividend will be paid on September 29, 2026 to all stockholders of record of issued and outstanding shares of the Company’s common stock as of September 15, 2026.
Why it matters: Higher prices and more owned-brand sales lifted gross margin. A drop below last year's rate would erase that gain.
Worry ifA coming quarter's gross margin falls below 40.8%, the year-ago Q2 rate.
Less concerning ifA coming quarter's gross margin stays above 40.8%.
Why it matters: The guide is well below last year's $988.6 million. A deeper drop would add pressure as key licenses end.
Worry ifFiscal Q3 sales come in below $870 million on Dec. 8.
Less concerning ifFiscal Q3 sales meet or exceed $870 million.
Why it matters: G-III lost sales from Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger products. Growth in its remaining brands can help fill that gap.
Supportive ifG-III reports go-forward portfolio sales growth of at least 5% year over year in the next quarter.
Worry ifGo-forward portfolio sales are flat or down year over year in the next quarter.
Why it matters: G-III targets $1 billion in long-term annual Marc Jacobs sales. The deal is expected to cut earnings at first.
Supportive ifOn Dec. 8, G-III gives Marc Jacobs sales or cost details and keeps its $1 billion long-term sales target.
Worry ifOn Dec. 8, G-III cuts the $1 billion target or reports added costs that delay the path to profit growth.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$73 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $299 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,728 loss on $10,000 · 27.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: G-III's Q3 earnings guide is below last year's level. A miss would point to more pressure on profit.
Worry ifFiscal Q3 non-GAAP earnings per share are below $1.35, the low end of the $1.35 to $1.45 guide.
Less concerning ifFiscal Q3 non-GAAP earnings per share are at least $1.35.