General Mills (GIS)
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$38.29-2.47%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GIS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $38 GIS trades at 11× p/e, below its 13× p/e peer median, but our blended $35 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $30–$43. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $33.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $28.11 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $15.98 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $33.12 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$30.00 – $43.00 (median $33.00) · 11 analysts · as of 2026-09-01
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2026-Q4
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $51.06 |
| 8.5 |
| 8.88 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $35.27 | 11.7 | 3.03 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $44.53 | 12.5 | 3.55 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $25.36 | 0.7 | 34.29 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $22.18 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $37.98 | 10.7 | 3.55 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $45.51 | 12.5 | 3.63 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $27.45 | 11.7 | 2.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $49.83 | 12.5 | 3.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $25.75 | 0.7 | 34.81 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $42.50 | 10.7 | 3.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $23.23 | 11.7 | 1.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $50.33 | 12.5 | 4.01 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $26.01 | 0.7 | 35.16 | guidance | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $42.92 | 10.7 | 4.01 | Analyst | high |