General Mills (GIS)
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-07-08
$36.34-2.06%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $36.34. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $37 GIS trades at 10× p/e, below its 13× p/e peer median, but our blended $36 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $30–$41. Not investment advice.
$30.00 – $41.00 (median $35.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-07-06
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $3.93/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2026-Q4
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $35.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $29.10 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $17.31 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $16.28 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $33.12 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $41.12 | 13.3 | 3.10 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $45.72 | 10.0 | 7.00 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $36.77 | 12.1 | 3.03 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $47.08 | 13.3 | 3.55 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $30.12 | 0.9 | 34.29 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $22.44 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $41.45 | 11.7 | 3.55 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $47.83 | 13.3 | 3.61 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $35.45 | 13.3 | 2.67 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $28.63 | 12.1 | 2.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $53.35 | 13.3 | 4.02 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $30.57 | 0.9 | 34.81 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $46.96 | 11.7 | 4.02 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $32.11 | 13.3 | 2.42 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $24.23 | 12.1 | 1.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $53.88 | 13.3 | 4.06 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $30.88 | 0.9 | 35.16 | guidance | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $47.43 | 11.7 | 4.06 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.